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UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 3
FC Porto
0 - 1Full time
PSV Eindhoven
Estádio do Dragão · Referee: Daniel Siebert

FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds2.50
64%
Confidence · Fair
FC PortoDrawPSV Eindhoven
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS
Yes
56%
Correct score
2-0
8%
HT/FT
1/1
37%
Double chance
X2
64%
Avg goals
2.5
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or PSV Eindhoven.
  • Recent form: FC Porto LL, PSV Eindhoven DL (oldest to newest).
  • FC Porto score 1.0 a game this season; PSV Eindhoven score 0.5.

Match preview

FC Porto host PSV Eindhoven in the UEFA Champions League (League Stage - 3) on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at Estádio do Dragão.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 64% confidence, priced at 2.50.

Quick answers

Who will win FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?

Our model gives FC Porto 36%, the draw 33% and PSV Eindhoven 31%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (64% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 56% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 62% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is FC Porto 2 - 0 PSV Eindhoven. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 64% confidence at odds of 2.50.

When is FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?

Kick-off is Tuesday, 20 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Estádio do Dragão. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 39'Lutsharel Geertruida
  2. 57'Guus TilAssist: Sven Mijnans
  3. Samuel Aghehowa ⇄ André Silva58'
  4. Oskar Pietuszewski ⇄ Borja Sainz58'
  5. Gabri Veiga ⇄ Hwang In-Beom58'
  6. Zaidu Sanusi ⇄ João Victor de Souza Menezes69'
  7. 74'Yarek Gasiorowski ⇄ Armando Obispo
  8. 75'Mauro Júnior
  9. Victor Froholdt ⇄ Seko Fofana76'
  10. 81'Mauro Júnior ⇄ Noah Fernandez
  11. 81'Esmir Bajraktarević ⇄ Dennis Man
  12. 88'Ivan Perišić ⇄ Amir Bouhamdi
  13. 88'Filip Kostić ⇄ Ryan Flamingo

Match stats

FC PortoPSV Eindhoven
Possession
40%60%
Expected goals (xG)
1.481.69
Shots
1418
Shots on target
43
Corners
23
Fouls
79
Offsides
53
Yellow cards
02
Red cards
00
Saves
23
Passes
422616