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Cup · Group Stage - 5
FC Orenburg
Rodina Moskva
Gazovik Stadium

FC Orenburg vs Rodina Moskva Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
FC OrenburgDrawRodina Moskva
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
87%
BTTS
Yes
84%
Correct score
3-2
3%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
5.0
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : FC Orenburg or draw and +1.5 goals.
  • Recent form: FC Orenburg LWLW, Rodina Moskva WLLL (oldest to newest).
  • FC Orenburg score 2.5 a game this season; Rodina Moskva score 2.3.

Match preview

FC Orenburg host Rodina Moskva in the Cup (Group Stage - 5) on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at Gazovik Stadium.

FC Orenburg come into the game with a form of WDW (newest first; 2 wins in their last 3), while Rodina Moskva have WDL (newest first; 1 win in their last 3).

This season FC Orenburg score 2.5 and concede 2.3 goals a game; Rodina Moskva score 2.3 and concede 2.8.

In their last 2 meetings, FC Orenburg won 1, Rodina Moskva won 0 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win FC Orenburg vs Rodina Moskva?

Our model gives FC Orenburg 45%, the draw 45% and Rodina Moskva 10%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 84% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 87% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is FC Orenburg 3 - 2 Rodina Moskva. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence.

When is FC Orenburg vs Rodina Moskva?

Kick-off is Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 13:00 UTC at Gazovik Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
FC OrenburgRodina Moskva
Goals scored
2.52.3
Goals conceded
2.32.8
Clean sheets
0%25%

Model comparison

Percent
FC OrenburgRodina Moskva
Form
67%33%
Attack
53%47%
Defence
55%45%
Poisson model
55%45%
Head to head
71%29%
Goals
67%33%
Overall
61%39%
Form, last 5 games
50%25%
Goals scored, last 5
10.09.0
Goals conceded, last 5
9.011.0
Goal forecast: FC Orenburg Under 3.5, Rodina Moskva Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw