Farense vs Penafiel Prediction, Odds & Tips
Home or Draw (1X)Odds1.25
FarenseDrawPenafiel
41%32%27%
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Why we like it
- Model advice: Double chance : Farense or draw.
- Recent form: Farense DLDWW, Penafiel WWWWL (oldest to newest).
- Farense score 1.9 a game this season; Penafiel score 2.0.
Match preview
Farense host Penafiel in the Segunda Liga (Regular Season - 8) on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at Estádio de São Luís.
This season Farense score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals a game; Penafiel score 2.0 and concede 1.0.
In their last 5 meetings, Farense won 3, Penafiel won 0 and 2 ended level.
Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 73% confidence, priced at 1.25.
Quick answers
Who will win Farense vs Penafiel?
Our model gives Farense 41%, the draw 32% and Penafiel 27%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (73% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 50% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 55% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Farense 1 - 1 Penafiel. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 73% confidence at odds of 1.25.
When is Farense vs Penafiel?
Kick-off is Saturday, 24 October 2026, 17:00 UTC at Estádio de São Luís. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- 4'Ricardo SchutteAssist: João Pinto●
- 6'Pedro Sá
- Nelson Oliveira8'
- 11'Ricardo Schutte●
- 14'Juanda Fuentes●
- VARJoao·Resende38'
- Claudio Falcão45+3'
- 46'Juanda Fuentes ⇄ francisco varela⇄
- ⇄Claudio Falcão ⇄ Joseph N'Duquidi46'
- ⇄Nelson Oliveira ⇄ Bruno Miguel Vicente dos Santos46'
- ⇄Joao·Resende ⇄ Gabriel Barbosa46'
- Sarpreet Singh55'
- ⇄toni herrero ⇄ Derick Poloni62'
- ⇄Sarpreet Singh ⇄ Miguel menino62'
- ●André Candeias65'
- 67'Ricardo Schutte ⇄ Antonio David Álvarez Rey⇄
- Joseph N'Duquidi78'
- 83'Jaime Sánchez ⇄ Joao Miguel⇄
- 83'Max Svensson ⇄ Claudio Mendes⇄
- 87'Claudio Mendes●
- 90+1'João Pinto ⇄ Tomás Teixeira⇄
- Alex Pinto90+2'
Match stats
FarensePenafiel
Key stats
Per game, this seasonFarensePenafiel
Model comparison
PercentFarensePenafiel
Goals scored, last 5
8.012.0
Goals conceded, last 5
4.04.0
Goal forecast: Farense Under 2.5, Penafiel Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw
Farense · last 1
1W 0D 0L17 OctHAD Marco 093-0W
Penafiel · last 1
0W 0D 1L17 OctHLeça0-1L
Head to head
Last 9Mar 2026Penafiel1-1Farense
Oct 2025Farense0-0Penafiel
Apr 2023Farense2-1Penafiel
Nov 2022Penafiel0-2Farense
Mar 2022Penafiel1-3Farense
Nov 2021Farense2-2Penafiel
Jan 2020Penafiel3-0Farense
Apr 2019Farense1-1Penafiel
Dec 2018Penafiel2-3Farense
Best available odds
DecimalHT/FT
1/X15.00
1/234.00
X/28.00
X/X5.00
1/13.20
X/15.00
2/123.00
2/X15.00
2/26.50
Correct score
1-16.50
1-07.00
0-08.50
2-09.00
2-19.00
0-111.00
1-213.00
2-215.00
3-017.00
3-117.00
0-219.00
3-229.00
Highlighted = our pick. Odds change; check with the bookmaker before betting.
Confirmed line-ups
ConfirmedFarense 4-3-3
97F. Buntić
78Alex Pinto
44N. Zolotić
37Gonçalo Silva
22Toni Herrero
27Mattheus Oliveira
29Cláudio Falcão
10S. Singh
17André Candeias
11Nélson Oliveira
7João Resende
Penafiel 3-4-3
1Miguel Oliveira
5Jaime Sánchez
6Adrián Pica
2Iano Imbene
33Ricardo Schutte
21Pedro Sá
3Cláudio Silva
7Douglas Borel
17João Pinto
9Max Svensson
11J. Fuentes
