Everton vs Chelsea Prediction, Odds & Tips
Draw or Away (X2)Odds1.36
EvertonDrawChelsea
20%35%45%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
59%
Why we like it
- Model advice: Double chance : draw or Chelsea.
- Recent form: Everton DDDWD, Chelsea WLDLW (oldest to newest).
- Everton score 1.3 a game this season; Chelsea score 2.5.
Match preview
Everton host Chelsea in the Premier League (Regular Season - 7) on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Hill Dickinson Stadium.
This season Everton score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals a game; Chelsea score 4.0 and concede 1.5.
In their last 5 meetings, Everton won 1, Chelsea won 3 and 1 ended level.
Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 80% confidence, priced at 1.36.
Quick answers
Who will win Everton vs Chelsea?
Our model gives Everton 20%, the draw 35% and Chelsea 45%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (80% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 61% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 59% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Everton 1 - 1 Chelsea. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 80% confidence at odds of 1.36.
When is Everton vs Chelsea?
Kick-off is Saturday, 17 October 2026, 11:30 UTC at Hill Dickinson Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- Harrison Armstrong23'
- 27'Pedro Neto
- 32'Josh Acheampong
- James Tarkowski34'
- 34'Morgan Rogers
- 46'Pedro Neto●
- ⇄Ainsley Maitland-Niles ⇄ Tyrique George55'
- 65'Cole Palmer
- 75'Emiliano Martínez ⇄ Mike Penders⇄
- ⇄Jack Grealish ⇄ Brennan Johnson85'
- ⇄Harrison Armstrong ⇄ Christian Nørgaard85'
- Christian Nørgaard89'
- 90'Pedro Neto●
- 90+2'Moises Caicedo ⇄ Romeo Lavia⇄
- 90+2'Jorrel Hato ⇄ Marco Palestra⇄
- 90+2'João Pedro ⇄ Danny Welbeck⇄
- 90+12'Pedro Neto ⇄ Geovany Quenda⇄
Match stats
EvertonChelsea
Expected goals (xG)
0.541.59
Key stats
Per game, this seasonEvertonChelsea
Model comparison
PercentEvertonChelsea
Goals scored, last 5
6.012.0
Goals conceded, last 5
5.011.0
Goal forecast: Everton Under 2.5, Chelsea Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw
Everton · last 0
0W 0D 0LNo matches.
Chelsea · last 0
0W 0D 0LNo matches.
Head to head
Last 10Mar 2026Everton3-0Chelsea
Dec 2025Chelsea2-0Everton
Apr 2025Chelsea1-0Everton
Dec 2024Everton0-0Chelsea
Apr 2024Chelsea6-0Everton
Dec 2023Everton2-0Chelsea
Mar 2023Chelsea2-2Everton
Aug 2022Everton0-1Chelsea
May 2022Everton1-0Chelsea
Dec 2021Chelsea1-1Everton
Best available odds
DecimalHT/FT
1/X15.00
1/223.00
X/26.00
X/X6.50
1/15.00
X/17.50
2/126.00
2/X15.00
2/23.60
Correct score
1-18.00
1-210.00
2-112.00
0-112.00
2-213.00
0-213.00
1-015.00
0-015.00
1-317.00
2-019.00
3-123.00
2-323.00
0-323.00
Highlighted = our pick. Odds change; check with the bookmaker before betting.
Confirmed line-ups
ConfirmedEverton 4-2-3-1
1J. Pickford
2A. Maitland-Niles
6J. Tarkowski
4J. Branthwaite
16V. Mykolenko
45H. Armstrong
37J. Garner
34M. Röhl
8K. Dewsbury-Hall
10J. Grealish
11T. Barry
Chelsea 4-2-3-1
1E. Martínez
34Joshua Kofi Acheampong
5M. Lacroix
6L. Colwill
21J. Hato
25M. Caicedo
14J. Henderson
7Pedro Neto
10C. Palmer
17M. Rogers
9João Pedro
Injuries and suspensions
Everton: V. Mykolenko, Knock, doubtful
Chelsea: E. Emegha, Muscle Injury, doubtful
Chelsea: J. Gittens, Ankle Injury, out
Chelsea: R. James, Knee Injury, out
