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Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 · Group 4 - 9
Erandio
Leioa

Erandio vs Leioa Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Away Win
Odds–
50%
Confidence · Fair
ErandioDrawLeioa
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS
Yes
51%
Correct score
1-2
0%
HT/FT
2/2
31%
Double chance
X2
95%
Avg goals
2.9
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Winner : Leioa.
  • Recent form: Erandio WLLLL, Leioa WWWDW (oldest to newest).
  • Erandio score 0.8 a game this season; Leioa score 2.6.

Match preview

Erandio host Leioa in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (Group 4 - 9) on Saturday, 31 October 2026.

This season Erandio score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals a game; Leioa score 2.6 and concede 1.0.

Our model leans towards Away Win with 50% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Erandio vs Leioa?

Our model gives Erandio 0%, the draw 50% and Leioa 50%. Our tip is Away Win (50% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 51% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 54% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Erandio 1 - 2 Leioa. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 95% confidence.

When is Erandio vs Leioa?

Kick-off is Saturday, 31 October 2026, 16:00 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
ErandioLeioa
Goals scored
0.82.6
Goals conceded
1.31.0
Clean sheets
25%38%

Model comparison

Percent
ErandioLeioa
Form
19%81%
Attack
16%84%
Defence
33%67%
Poisson model
18%82%
Overall
22%79%
Form, last 5 games
20%87%
Goals scored, last 5
3.016.0
Goals conceded, last 5
6.03.0
Goal forecast: Erandio Under 1.5, Leioa Under 3.5