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Liga Pro · Placement Group - 5
Emelec
Leones del Norte
Estadio George Capwell

Emelec vs Leones del Norte Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.33
81%
Confidence · High
EmelecDrawLeones del Norte
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
BTTS
No
54%
Correct score
1-1
12%
HT/FT
1/1
22%
Double chance
1X
81%
Avg goals
2.2
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Emelec or draw.
  • Recent form: Emelec LLLWL, Leones del Norte LDLLW (oldest to newest).
  • Emelec score 0.9 a game this season; Leones del Norte score 1.1.

Match preview

Emelec host Leones del Norte in the Liga Pro (Placement Group - 5) on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at Estadio George Capwell.

This season Emelec score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals a game; Leones del Norte score 1.1 and concede 1.2.

In their last 4 meetings, Emelec won 2, Leones del Norte won 1 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 81% confidence, priced at 1.33.

Quick answers

Who will win Emelec vs Leones del Norte?

Our model gives Emelec 43%, the draw 38% and Leones del Norte 19%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (81% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 54% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 60% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Emelec 1 - 1 Leones del Norte. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 81% confidence at odds of 1.33.

When is Emelec vs Leones del Norte?

Kick-off is Saturday, 31 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Estadio George Capwell. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
EmelecLeones del Norte
Goals scored
0.91.1
Goals conceded
1.21.2
Clean sheets
29%29%

Model comparison

Percent
EmelecLeones del Norte
Form
43%57%
Attack
50%50%
Defence
53%47%
Poisson model
58%42%
Head to head
75%25%
Goals
60%40%
Overall
57%44%
Form, last 5 games
20%27%
Goals scored, last 5
6.06.0
Goals conceded, last 5
8.09.0
Goal forecast: Emelec Under 2.5, Leones del Norte Under 1.5Model verdict: Win or draw