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Esiliiga A · Regular Season - 32
Elva
Tallinna Kalev
Nike Arena

Elva vs Tallinna Kalev Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds–
70%
Confidence · Good
ElvaDrawTallinna Kalev
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS
Yes
66%
Correct score
2-2
7%
HT/FT
1/1
22%
Double chance
1X
70%
Avg goals
3.4
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Elva or draw.
  • Recent form: Elva WDLDD, Tallinna Kalev LDLLL (oldest to newest).
  • Elva score 1.5 a game this season; Tallinna Kalev score 1.8.

Match preview

Elva host Tallinna Kalev in the Esiliiga A (Regular Season - 32) on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at Nike Arena.

This season Elva score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals a game; Tallinna Kalev score 1.8 and concede 1.9.

In their last 5 meetings, Elva won 2, Tallinna Kalev won 3 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 70% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Elva vs Tallinna Kalev?

Our model gives Elva 35%, the draw 35% and Tallinna Kalev 30%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (70% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 66% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 65% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Elva 2 - 2 Tallinna Kalev. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 70% confidence.

When is Elva vs Tallinna Kalev?

Kick-off is Sunday, 1 November 2026, 11:00 UTC at Nike Arena. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
ElvaTallinna Kalev
Goals scored
1.51.8
Goals conceded
1.51.9
Clean sheets
27%13%

Model comparison

Percent
ElvaTallinna Kalev
Form
86%14%
Attack
46%54%
Defence
55%45%
Poisson model
58%42%
Head to head
40%60%
Goals
50%50%
Overall
56%44%
Form, last 5 games
40%7%
Goals scored, last 5
6.07.0
Goals conceded, last 5
9.011.0
Goal forecast: Elva Under 2.5, Tallinna Kalev Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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