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La Liga · Regular Season - 11
Elche
Valencia
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Elche vs Valencia Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds1.53
76%
Confidence · Good
ElcheDrawValencia
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
Yes
55%
Correct score
1-1
11%
HT/FT
1/1
21%
Double chance
X2
76%
Avg goals
2.8
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Valencia.
  • Recent form: Elche LWDDW, Valencia WLDDL (oldest to newest).
  • Elche score 1.4 a game this season; Valencia score 0.7.

Match preview

Elche host Valencia in the La Liga (Regular Season - 11) on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero.

Elche come into the game with a form of WWD (newest first; 2 wins in their last 3).

This season Elche score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals a game; Valencia score 0.7 and concede 1.7.

In their last 5 meetings, Elche won 1, Valencia won 2 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 76% confidence, priced at 1.53.

Quick answers

Who will win Elche vs Valencia?

Our model gives Elche 24%, the draw 37% and Valencia 39%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (76% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 55% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 50% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Elche 1 - 1 Valencia. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 76% confidence at odds of 1.53.

When is Elche vs Valencia?

Kick-off is Sunday, 1 November 2026, 17:30 UTC at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
ElcheValencia
Goals scored
1.40.7
Goals conceded
1.71.7
Clean sheets
30%30%

Model comparison

Percent
ElcheValencia
Form
62%38%
Attack
57%43%
Defence
64%36%
Poisson model
30%70%
Head to head
38%62%
Goals
40%60%
Overall
49%52%
Form, last 5 games
53%33%
Goals scored, last 5
8.06.0
Goals conceded, last 5
4.07.0
Goal forecast: Elche Under 2.5, Valencia Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw