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Liga de Expansión MX · Apertura - 13
Durango
5 - 0Full time
Tapatío
Estadio Francisco Zarco · Referee: D. S. Perez Borja

Durango vs Tapatío Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
DurangoDrawTapatío
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS
Yes
55%
Correct score
1-1
7%
HT/FT
2/2
28%
Double chance
X2
90%
Avg goals
2.7
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Tapatío.
  • Recent form: Durango LWWWD, Tapatío LWLLW (oldest to newest).
  • Durango score 0.9 a game this season; Tapatío score 1.9.

Match preview

Durango host Tapatío in the Liga de Expansión MX (Apertura - 13) on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Estadio Francisco Zarco.

This season Durango score 1.2 and concede 0.8 goals a game; Tapatío score 1.8 and concede 1.9.

In their last 2 meetings, Durango won 0, Tapatío won 2 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Durango vs Tapatío?

Our model gives Durango 10%, the draw 45% and Tapatío 45%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 55% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 51% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Durango 1 - 1 Tapatío. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 90% confidence.

When is Durango vs Tapatío?

Kick-off is Sunday, 18 October 2026, 03:00 UTC at Estadio Francisco Zarco. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. L. Gutierrez2'
  2. 4'G. Gutierrez
  3. J. Gonzalez5'
  4. J. Angulo9'
  5. 27'D. Delgadillo
  6. J. I. Reyes Olguin38'
  7. 46'J. Uribe ⇄ L. Jimenez
  8. 46'G. Gutierrez ⇄ S. Esparza
  9. 67'D. Delgadillo ⇄ D. Latorre
  10. 67'D. Covarrubias ⇄ L. Ledesma
  11. J. Angulo68'
  12. 70'M. Cendejas
  13. J. Angulo ⇄ J. Torres72'
  14. S. EsparzaOwn goal74'
  15. L. Gutierrez ⇄ T. Montano78'
  16. J. Gonzalez ⇄ A. Ontiveros78'
  17. 79'D. Villaseca ⇄ C. Medina
  18. A. Escoboza ⇄ L. Lorona83'
  19. C. Vega Hernandez ⇄ A. Garcia83'
  20. A. Garcia89'