Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl. Prediction, Odds & Tips
Draw or Away (X2)Odds1.30
Derry CityDrawSt Patrick's Athl.
19%36%45%
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Why we like it
- Model advice: Double chance : draw or St Patrick's Athl..
- Recent form: Derry City LDWDW, St Patrick's Athl. WLWWW (oldest to newest).
- Derry City score 1.4 a game this season; St Patrick's Athl. score 1.6.
Match preview
Derry City host St Patrick's Athl. in the Premier Division (Regular Season - 33) on Monday, 19 October 2026 at Brandywell Stadium.
This season Derry City score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals a game; St Patrick's Athl. score 1.6 and concede 0.8.
In their last 5 meetings, Derry City won 1, St Patrick's Athl. won 0 and 4 ended level.
Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 81% confidence, priced at 1.30.
Quick answers
Who will win Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Our model gives Derry City 19%, the draw 36% and St Patrick's Athl. 45%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (81% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 52% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 54% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Derry City 1 - 1 St Patrick's Athl.. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 81% confidence at odds of 1.30.
When is Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Kick-off is Monday, 19 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Brandywell Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- Darragh Burns21'
- ⇄Brooklyn Lyons-Foster ⇄ Conor Barry45'
- 53'Anthony Olusanya
- 57'Aidan Keena ⇄ Ryan Edmondson⇄
- 57'Anto Breslin ⇄ Jason McClelland⇄
- ●Kévin SantosAssist: Darragh Burns62'
- 63'Kian Leavy ⇄ Christopher Forrester⇄
- 64'Barry Baggley ⇄ Ryan Sheridan⇄
- James Clarke70'
- ⇄Kévin Santos ⇄ Darragh Markey72'
- 75'Luke·Turner ⇄ Romal Palmer⇄
- ⇄nick twisk ⇄ Cameron Dummigan80'
- 80'Christopher Forrester
- ⇄Tyler·Smith ⇄ Terence Doherty85'
Match stats
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
Expected goals (xG)
0.702.40
Key stats
Per game, this seasonDerry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
Model comparison
PercentDerry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
Goals scored, last 5
10.09.0
Goals conceded, last 5
10.02.0
Goal forecast: Derry City Under 2.5, St Patrick's Athl. Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw
Derry City · last 1
0W 0D 1L16 OctADrogheda United2-0L
St Patrick's Athl. · last 1
0W 0D 1L16 OctHShelbourne1-2L
Head to head
Last 10Aug 2026St Patrick's Athl.1-1Derry City
May 2026Derry City0-0St Patrick's Athl.
Mar 2026St Patrick's Athl.0-0Derry City
Aug 2025Derry City2-2St Patrick's Athl.
Jun 2025St Patrick's Athl.0-1Derry City
May 2025Derry City1-0St Patrick's Athl.
Mar 2025St Patrick's Athl.2-0Derry City
Oct 2024St Patrick's Athl.1-0Derry City
Jul 2024Derry City3-0St Patrick's Athl.
May 2024St Patrick's Athl.0-1Derry City
Best available odds
DecimalHT/FT
1/X15.00
1/226.00
X/25.50
X/X5.00
1/15.50
X/17.50
2/134.00
2/X13.00
2/23.50
Correct score
1-16.50
0-17.50
1-29.00
1-09.50
0-09.50
0-210.00
2-112.00
2-215.00
2-017.00
1-317.00
0-319.00
3-129.00
2-326.00
Highlighted = our pick. Odds change; check with the bookmaker before betting.
Confirmed line-ups
ConfirmedDerry City 4-3-3
13Tom Norcott
24Brooklyn Lyons-Foster
4J. Stott
3Patrick McClean
19B. Fleming
15J. Clarke
17N. Twisk
14E. Chapman
12D. Burns
29T. Smith
21Kévin Santos
St Patrick's Athl. 3-1-4-2
94J. Anang
4J. Redmond
2S. Hoare
24L. Turner
6J. Lennon
7Z. Elbouzedi
10K. Leavy
19B. Baggley
3A. Breslin
21A. Olusanya
9A. Keena
