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Premier Division · Regular Season - 35
Derry City
2 - 1Full time
Dundalk
Brandywell Stadium

Derry City vs Dundalk Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.20
85%
Confidence · High
Derry CityDrawDundalk
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
Yes
59%
Correct score
1-1
10%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
85%
Avg goals
2.9
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Derry City or draw.
  • Recent form: Derry City DWDWL, Dundalk DLLLD (oldest to newest).
  • Derry City score 1.4 a game this season; Dundalk score 1.5.

Match preview

Derry City host Dundalk in the Premier Division (Regular Season - 35) on Friday, 23 October 2026 at Brandywell Stadium.

This season Derry City score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals a game; Dundalk score 1.5 and concede 1.6.

In their last 5 meetings, Derry City won 2, Dundalk won 1 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 85% confidence, priced at 1.20.

Quick answers

Who will win Derry City vs Dundalk?

Our model gives Derry City 50%, the draw 35% and Dundalk 15%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (85% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 59% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 60% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Derry City 1 - 1 Dundalk. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 85% confidence at odds of 1.20.

When is Derry City vs Dundalk?

Kick-off is Friday, 23 October 2026, 18:45 UTC at Brandywell Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. James Clarke12'
  2. Darragh Burns43'
  3. 53'Keith Buckley
  4. 56'Declan McDaid ⇄ Harry Groome
  5. 56'Egor Vassenin ⇄ Robert Cornwall
  6. 59'Trevor Clarke
  7. Adam O'Reilly ⇄ Darragh Markey67'
  8. 69'Tyreke Wilson ⇄ Harvey Warren
  9. 69'Trevor Clarke ⇄ Cian dillon
  10. 69'Keith Buckley ⇄ shane tracey
  11. Michael DuffyAssist: Darragh Burns71'
  12. Michael Duffy ⇄ Gavin Whyte74'
  13. Darragh Burns ⇄ Kévin Santos74'
  14. 79'shane tracey
  15. James Clarke ⇄ Terence Doherty87'
  16. Cameron Dummigan ⇄ Conor Barry87'
  17. Ellis Chapman89'

Match stats

Derry CityDundalk
Possession
53%47%
Expected goals (xG)
1.760.82
Shots
1612
Shots on target
85
Corners
25
Fouls
1113
Offsides
50
Yellow cards
22
Red cards
00
Saves
35
Passes
499424