Derby vs Stoke City Prediction, Odds & Tips
Our Prediction
- Model advice: Double chance : draw or Stoke City.
- Recent form: Derby LLDDL, Stoke City DWWWL (oldest to newest).
- Derby score 0.9 a game this season; Stoke City score 1.7.
Match preview
Derby host Stoke City in the Championship (Regular Season - 11) on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Pride Park Stadium.
This season Derby score 0.8 and concede 1.8 goals a game; Stoke City score 1.6 and concede 1.5.
In their last 5 meetings, Derby won 2, Stoke City won 2 and 1 ended level.
Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 79% confidence, priced at 1.40.
Quick answers
Who will win Derby vs Stoke City?
Our model gives Derby 21%, the draw 36% and Stoke City 42%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (79% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 54% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 53% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Derby 1 - 1 Stoke City. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 79% confidence at odds of 1.40.
When is Derby vs Stoke City?
Kick-off is Saturday, 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC at Pride Park Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- 38'
- 45'
- 49'Assist: Ethan Galbraith
- 52'
- 68'
- 68'
- 73'
- 76'
- 87'
- 87'
- 87'
- 87'
