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Primera División · Regular Season - 25
D. La Serena
3 - 1Full time
Concepción
La Portada · Referee: Mathias Riquelme

D. La Serena vs Concepción Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.36
69%
Confidence · Good
D. La SerenaDrawConcepción
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS
Yes
56%
Correct score
1-1
11%
HT/FT
1/1
22%
Double chance
1X
69%
Avg goals
2.7
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : D. La Serena or draw.
  • Recent form: D. La Serena DWWLL, Concepción DWLDD (oldest to newest).
  • D. La Serena score 1.5 a game this season; Concepción score 1.1.

Match preview

D. La Serena host Concepción in the Primera División (Regular Season - 25) on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at La Portada.

This season D. La Serena score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals a game; Concepción score 1.1 and concede 1.1.

In their last 1 meetings, D. La Serena won 0, Concepción won 0 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 69% confidence, priced at 1.36.

Quick answers

Who will win D. La Serena vs Concepción?

Our model gives D. La Serena 38%, the draw 31% and Concepción 31%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (69% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 56% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 51% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is D. La Serena 1 - 1 Concepción. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 69% confidence at odds of 1.36.

When is D. La Serena vs Concepción?

Kick-off is Saturday, 24 October 2026, 15:30 UTC at La Portada. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 5'Y. Rodríguez
  2. Matías Marín14'
  3. Francis Mac Allister20'
  4. 21'Jorge Henríquez
  5. Matías MarínAssist: Rafael Delgado37'
  6. 39'Ariel Cáceres
  7. 41'Y. Rodríguez
  8. Matías Marín42'
  9. 45'Aldrix Jara ⇄ Misael Dávila
  10. 45+2'Fausto Grillo
  11. Diego Rubio57'
  12. Francis Mac Allister ⇄ Sebastián Díaz65'
  13. 72'Jorge Henríquez ⇄ Diego Acosta
  14. 72'Mario Sandoval ⇄ Cristian Riquelme
  15. Lucas AlarconPenalty confirmed81'
  16. Jeisson VargasPenalty84'
  17. Yahir Salazar ⇄ Matias Pinto86'
  18. Diego Rubio ⇄ Matías Pérez86'
  19. 90+1'Ethan Espinoza ⇄ Joaquín Montecinos
  20. 90+1'Joaquín Larrivey ⇄ Carlos Escobar
  21. Matías Marín ⇄ Ángelo Henríquez90+2'
  22. G. Figueroa ⇄ Milovan Joseph Velásquez Blaset90+2'

Match stats

D. La SerenaConcepción
Possession
66%34%
Expected goals (xG)
2.580.18
Shots
173
Shots on target
81
Corners
113
Fouls
2015
Offsides
10
Yellow cards
32
Red cards
01
Saves
05
Passes
494247