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League Two · Regular Season - 11
Crewe
3 - 2Full time
Rochdale
Alexandra Stadium

Crewe vs Rochdale Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.25
83%
Confidence · High
CreweDrawRochdale
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS
Yes
54%
Correct score
1-1
10%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
83%
Avg goals
2.1
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : Crewe or draw and -3.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Crewe DDDWW, Rochdale DWWWD (oldest to newest).
  • Crewe score 1.2 a game this season; Rochdale score 1.1.

Match preview

Crewe host Rochdale in the League Two (Regular Season - 11) on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Alexandra Stadium.

This season Crewe score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals a game; Rochdale score 1.3 and concede 1.4.

In their last 5 meetings, Crewe won 1, Rochdale won 0 and 4 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 83% confidence, priced at 1.25.

Quick answers

Who will win Crewe vs Rochdale?

Our model gives Crewe 48%, the draw 35% and Rochdale 17%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (83% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 54% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 51% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Crewe 1 - 1 Rochdale. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 83% confidence at odds of 1.25.

When is Crewe vs Rochdale?

Kick-off is Saturday, 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC at Alexandra Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. Matúš HolíčekAssist: Jordan Gibson39'
  2. Jordan GibsonAssist: Owen lunt45'
  3. Matúš Holíček ⇄ Conor Thomas45'
  4. Joe White50'
  5. Jordan GibsonAssist: Kyle Ure55'
  6. Joe White ⇄ Calum·Agius60'
  7. 63'Dajaune Brown ⇄ Emmanuel Dieseruvwe
  8. 63'Cian Hayes ⇄ Edward Francis
  9. 63'Charlie Tasker ⇄ sam beckwith
  10. 65'Joel TabinerOwn goal
  11. Jordan Gibson ⇄ Stan Dancey75'
  12. Kyle Ure ⇄ Reece Hutchinson75'
  13. Joel Tabiner ⇄ Adrien thibaut75'
  14. 79'Babajide Ezekiel Adeeko ⇄ Zain Silcott-Duberry
  15. 90'Aden FlintAssist: Edward Francis

Match stats

CreweRochdale
Possession
40%60%
Expected goals (xG)
1.530.89
Shots
1015
Shots on target
43
Corners
17
Fouls
77
Offsides
12
Yellow cards
10
Red cards
00
Saves
21
Passes
371559