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Ligi kuu Bara · Regular Season - 10
Coastal Union
Kagera Sugar
Mkwakwani Stadium

Coastal Union vs Kagera Sugar Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
Coastal UnionDrawKagera Sugar
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS
Yes
53%
Correct score
1-1
7%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
2.6
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Coastal Union or draw.
  • Recent form: Coastal Union WWLWL, Kagera Sugar LDWDL (oldest to newest).
  • Coastal Union score 0.9 a game this season; Kagera Sugar score 1.0.

Match preview

Coastal Union host Kagera Sugar in the Ligi kuu Bara (Regular Season - 10) on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at Mkwakwani Stadium.

This season Coastal Union score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals a game; Kagera Sugar score 1.0 and concede 1.9.

In their last 5 meetings, Coastal Union won 3, Kagera Sugar won 1 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Coastal Union vs Kagera Sugar?

Our model gives Coastal Union 45%, the draw 45% and Kagera Sugar 10%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 53% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 52% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Coastal Union 1 - 1 Kagera Sugar. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence.

When is Coastal Union vs Kagera Sugar?

Kick-off is Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 18:00 UTC at Mkwakwani Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Coastal UnionKagera Sugar
Goals scored
0.91.0
Goals conceded
1.41.9
Clean sheets
13%0%

Model comparison

Percent
Coastal UnionKagera Sugar
Form
64%36%
Attack
55%45%
Defence
50%50%
Poisson model
47%53%
Head to head
71%29%
Goals
63%38%
Overall
58%42%
Form, last 5 games
60%33%
Goals scored, last 5
6.05.0
Goals conceded, last 5
6.06.0
Goal forecast: Coastal Union Under 2.5, Kagera Sugar Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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