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First League · Regular Season - 12
Cherno More Varna
Septemvri Sofia
Ticha Stadium

Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.17
86%
Confidence · High
Cherno More VarnaDrawSeptemvri Sofia
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS
No
54%
Correct score
1-0
12%
HT/FT
1/1
31%
Double chance
1X
86%
Avg goals
2.9
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Cherno More Varna or draw.
  • Recent form: Cherno More Varna LLDDL, Septemvri Sofia DLLLL (oldest to newest).
  • Cherno More Varna score 1.0 a game this season; Septemvri Sofia score 0.9.

Match preview

Cherno More Varna host Septemvri Sofia in the First League (Regular Season - 12) on Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at Ticha Stadium.

This season Cherno More Varna score 1.0 and concede 2.0 goals a game; Septemvri Sofia score 0.9 and concede 1.9.

In their last 5 meetings, Cherno More Varna won 4, Septemvri Sofia won 0 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 86% confidence, priced at 1.17.

Quick answers

Who will win Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia?

Our model gives Cherno More Varna 50%, the draw 36% and Septemvri Sofia 14%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (86% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 54% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 56% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Cherno More Varna 1 - 0 Septemvri Sofia. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 86% confidence at odds of 1.17.

When is Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia?

Kick-off is Tuesday, 27 October 2026, 15:00 UTC at Ticha Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Cherno More VarnaSeptemvri Sofia
Goals scored
1.00.9
Goals conceded
2.01.9
Clean sheets
0%18%

Model comparison

Percent
Cherno More VarnaSeptemvri Sofia
Form
67%33%
Attack
40%60%
Defence
57%43%
Poisson model
51%49%
Head to head
93%7%
Goals
85%15%
Overall
66%35%
Form, last 5 games
13%7%
Goals scored, last 5
4.06.0
Goals conceded, last 5
9.012.0
Goal forecast: Cherno More Varna Under 2.5, Septemvri Sofia Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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