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Liga Nacional · Apertura - 12
CD Motagua
CD Marathon
Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles

CD Motagua vs CD Marathon Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
CD MotaguaDrawCD Marathon
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS
No
52%
Correct score
1-1
8%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
2.4
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : CD Motagua or draw.
  • Recent form: CD Motagua WLWWW, CD Marathon WLDWD (oldest to newest).
  • CD Motagua score 1.5 a game this season; CD Marathon score 1.6.

Match preview

CD Motagua host CD Marathon in the Liga Nacional (Apertura - 12) on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles.

CD Motagua come into the game with a form of WDW (newest first; 2 wins in their last 3), while CD Marathon have DDWW (newest first; 2 wins in their last 4).

This season CD Motagua score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals a game; CD Marathon score 1.6 and concede 0.8.

In their last 5 meetings, CD Motagua won 0, CD Marathon won 2 and 3 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win CD Motagua vs CD Marathon?

Our model gives CD Motagua 45%, the draw 45% and CD Marathon 10%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 52% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 58% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is CD Motagua 1 - 1 CD Marathon. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence.

When is CD Motagua vs CD Marathon?

Kick-off is Sunday, 1 November 2026, 23:15 UTC at Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
CD MotaguaCD Marathon
Goals scored
1.51.6
Goals conceded
0.80.8
Clean sheets
45%45%

Model comparison

Percent
CD MotaguaCD Marathon
Form
60%40%
Attack
50%50%
Defence
75%25%
Poisson model
58%42%
Head to head
38%62%
Goals
43%57%
Overall
54%46%
Form, last 5 games
80%53%
Goals scored, last 5
7.07.0
Goals conceded, last 5
2.06.0
Goal forecast: CD Motagua Under 2.5, CD Marathon Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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