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Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 · Group 14 - 8
Castuera
0 - 0Full time
Llerenense

Castuera vs Llerenense Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
CastueraDrawLlerenense
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS
No
52%
Correct score
1-1
8%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
2.4
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : Castuera or draw and -3.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Castuera WWWLD, Llerenense WDWWW (oldest to newest).
  • Castuera score 2.1 a game this season; Llerenense score 1.4.

Match preview

Castuera host Llerenense in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 (Group 14 - 8) on Sunday, 25 October 2026.

This season Castuera score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals a game; Llerenense score 1.4 and concede 0.3.

In their last 2 meetings, Castuera won 1, Llerenense won 0 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Castuera vs Llerenense?

Our model gives Castuera 45%, the draw 45% and Llerenense 10%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 52% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 58% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Castuera 1 - 1 Llerenense. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence.

When is Castuera vs Llerenense?

Kick-off is Sunday, 25 October 2026, 11:00 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
CastueraLlerenense
Goals scored
2.11.4
Goals conceded
0.90.3
Clean sheets
43%71%

Model comparison

Percent
CastueraLlerenense
Form
43%57%
Attack
56%44%
Defence
33%67%
Poisson model
100%0%
Head to head
80%20%
Goals
63%38%
Overall
55%45%
Form, last 5 games
67%87%
Goals scored, last 5
10.08.0
Goals conceded, last 5
4.02.0
Goal forecast: Castuera Under 2.5, Llerenense Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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