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Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · Group 3 - 7
Castellonense
La Nucía

Castellonense vs La Nucía Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.40
78%
Confidence · Good
CastellonenseDrawLa Nucía
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS
Yes
55%
Correct score
1-1
12%
HT/FT
1/1
19%
Double chance
1X
78%
Avg goals
2.7
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Castellonense or draw.
  • Recent form: Castellonense WWLWL, La Nucía WWWLL (oldest to newest).
  • Castellonense score 1.7 a game this season; La Nucía score 1.7.

Match preview

Castellonense host La Nucía in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (Group 3 - 7) on Sunday, 18 October 2026.

This season Castellonense score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals a game; La Nucía score 1.7 and concede 1.0.

In their last 5 meetings, Castellonense won 3, La Nucía won 1 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 78% confidence, priced at 1.40.

Quick answers

Who will win Castellonense vs La Nucía?

Our model gives Castellonense 40%, the draw 38% and La Nucía 22%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (78% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 55% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 59% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Castellonense 1 - 1 La Nucía. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 78% confidence at odds of 1.40.

When is Castellonense vs La Nucía?

Kick-off is Sunday, 18 October 2026, 09:45 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
CastellonenseLa Nucía
Goals scored
1.71.7
Goals conceded
1.01.0
Clean sheets
33%50%

Model comparison

Percent
CastellonenseLa Nucía
Form
50%50%
Attack
47%53%
Defence
55%45%
Poisson model
90%10%
Head to head
71%29%
Goals
67%33%
Overall
63%37%
Form, last 5 games
60%60%
Goals scored, last 5
8.09.0
Goals conceded, last 5
5.06.0
Goal forecast: Castellonense Under 2.5, La Nucía Under 1.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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