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Championship · Regular Season - 10
Cardiff
5 - 1Full time
Watford
Cardiff City Stadium · Referee: John Busby

Cardiff vs Watford Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw No Bet: Home
Odds1.25
74%
Confidence · Good
CardiffDrawWatford
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS
Yes
63%
Correct score
1-1
9%
HT/FT
1/1
33%
Double chance
1X
80%
Avg goals
–
Expected

Match preview

Cardiff host Watford in the Championship (Regular Season - 10) on Tuesday, 13 October 2026 at Cardiff City Stadium.

This season Cardiff score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals a game; Watford score 0.9 and concede 1.7.

Our model leans towards Draw No Bet: Home with 74% confidence, priced at 1.25.

Quick answers

Who will win Cardiff vs Watford?

Our model gives Cardiff 57%, the draw 23% and Watford 20%. Our tip is Draw No Bet: Home (74% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 63% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 64% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Cardiff 1 - 1 Watford. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 80% confidence at odds of 1.17.

When is Cardiff vs Watford?

Kick-off is Tuesday, 13 October 2026, 18:45 UTC at Cardiff City Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 9'Martin Payero
  2. Jack MoylanPenalty11'
  3. Dylan Lawlor ⇄ William Fish29'
  4. Jack MoylanAssist: C. Ashford35'
  5. Matthew PollockOwn goal41'
  6. Ollie·TannerAssist: Perry Tian Hee Ng45+5'
  7. 56'Myron Boadu ⇄ Mamadou Doumbia
  8. 56'Jordan Zemura ⇄ Marc Bola
  9. 56'Stephy Mavididi ⇄ Amin Nabizada
  10. Christopher Willock65'
  11. 67'Martin Payero ⇄ Iker Bravo
  12. Jack Moylan ⇄ David Turnbull69'
  13. Christopher Willock ⇄ Calum Scanlon69'
  14. 69'Othmane Maamma ⇄ Krépin Diatta
  15. 73'Edo Kayembe
  16. Ollie·Tanner ⇄ Callum Robinson82'
  17. Joel Bagan ⇄ Isaak Davies82'
  18. Callum RobinsonAssist: David Turnbull85'
  19. 86'Amin Nabizada
  20. Perry Tian Hee Ng86'
  21. 87'Hector KyprianouAssist: Iker Bravo
  22. 90+5'Hector Kyprianou

Match stats

CardiffWatford
Possession
58%42%
Expected goals (xG)
3.751.52
Shots
2214
Shots on target
104
Corners
61
Fouls
1212
Offsides
44
Yellow cards
14
Red cards
00
Saves
36
Passes
494358