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Championship · Regular Season - 12
Cardiff
1 - 0Full time
Birmingham
Cardiff City Stadium · Referee: Tim Robinson

Cardiff vs Birmingham Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.53
66%
Confidence · Good
CardiffDrawBirmingham
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS
Yes
65%
Correct score
1-1
10%
HT/FT
1/1
21%
Double chance
1X
66%
Avg goals
3.0
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Cardiff or draw.
  • Recent form: Cardiff LWLWD, Birmingham WDWWW (oldest to newest).
  • Cardiff score 1.6 a game this season; Birmingham score 1.8.

Match preview

Cardiff host Birmingham in the Championship (Regular Season - 12) on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at Cardiff City Stadium.

This season Cardiff score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals a game; Birmingham score 1.8 and concede 1.0.

In their last 5 meetings, Cardiff won 4, Birmingham won 1 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 66% confidence, priced at 1.53.

Quick answers

Who will win Cardiff vs Birmingham?

Our model gives Cardiff 36%, the draw 30% and Birmingham 34%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (66% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 65% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 64% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Cardiff 1 - 1 Birmingham. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 66% confidence at odds of 1.53.

When is Cardiff vs Birmingham?

Kick-off is Saturday, 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC at Cardiff City Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. Yousef Salech22'
  2. Yousef SalechAssist: Ollie·Tanner31'
  3. 50'Jhon Elmer Solís Romero
  4. 64'Luis Vasquez ⇄ Marvin Ducksch
  5. 64'Carlos Vicente ⇄ Patrick Roberts
  6. 64'Jhon Elmer Solís Romero ⇄ Max Bird
  7. Calum Scanlon ⇄ Ronan Kpakio68'
  8. Ollie·Tanner ⇄ Christopher Willock68'
  9. 70'Liam Millar ⇄ Demarai Gray
  10. 78'Bright Osayi-Samuel ⇄ Ethan Laird
  11. 81'Christoph·Klarer
  12. Joel Bagan82'
  13. Jack Moylan ⇄ David Turnbull87'
  14. C. Ashford ⇄ Isaak Davies90+3'
  15. 90+5'Chris Davies

Match stats

CardiffBirmingham
Possession
52%48%
Expected goals (xG)
2.400.91
Shots
167
Shots on target
42
Corners
33
Fouls
1019
Offsides
24
Yellow cards
12
Red cards
00
Saves
23
Passes
414385