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Non League Premier - Northern · Regular Season - 14
Bury
Leek Town
Gigg Lane

Bury vs Leek Town Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home Win
Odds–
45%
Confidence · Fair
BuryDrawLeek Town
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS
Yes
67%
Correct score
2-2
3%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
3.5
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Winner : Bury and +1.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Bury WLWLW, Leek Town LWDDW (oldest to newest).
  • Bury score 2.0 a game this season; Leek Town score 2.0.

Match preview

Bury host Leek Town in the Non League Premier - Northern (Regular Season - 14) on Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at Gigg Lane.

Bury come into the game with a form of WLD (newest first; 1 win in their last 3).

This season Bury score 4.0 and concede 3.0 goals a game; Leek Town score 2.0 and concede 0.0.

Our model leans towards Home Win with 45% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Bury vs Leek Town?

Our model gives Bury 45%, the draw 45% and Leek Town 10%. Our tip is Home Win (45% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 67% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 68% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Bury 2 - 2 Leek Town. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence.

When is Bury vs Leek Town?

Kick-off is Tuesday, 27 October 2026, 19:45 UTC at Gigg Lane. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
BuryLeek Town
Goals scored
4.02.0
Goals conceded
3.00.0
Clean sheets
0%100%

Model comparison

Percent
BuryLeek Town
Form
53%47%
Attack
58%42%
Defence
67%33%
Poisson model
83%17%
Overall
65%35%
Form, last 5 games
60%53%
Goals scored, last 5
15.011.0
Goals conceded, last 5
5.010.0
Goal forecast: Bury Under 4.5, Leek Town Under 2.5