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Championship · Regular Season - 11
Burnley
1 - 2Full time
Wolves
Turf Moor · Referee: Lewis Smith

Burnley vs Wolves Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.62
64%
Confidence · Fair
BurnleyDrawWolves
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS
Yes
58%
Correct score
1-1
10%
HT/FT
2/2
24%
Double chance
1X
64%
Avg goals
3.4
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Burnley or draw.
  • Recent form: Burnley DLDWD, Wolves DWWLL (oldest to newest).
  • Burnley score 1.5 a game this season; Wolves score 1.8.

Match preview

Burnley host Wolves in the Championship (Regular Season - 11) on Friday, 16 October 2026 at Turf Moor.

This season Burnley score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals a game; Wolves score 1.7 and concede 1.5.

In their last 5 meetings, Burnley won 1, Wolves won 2 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 64% confidence, priced at 1.62.

Quick answers

Who will win Burnley vs Wolves?

Our model gives Burnley 34%, the draw 31% and Wolves 36%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (64% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 58% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 55% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Burnley 1 - 1 Wolves. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 64% confidence at odds of 1.62.

When is Burnley vs Wolves?

Kick-off is Friday, 16 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Turf Moor. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. Jamie VardyAssist: Jacob Bruun Larsen20'
  2. 39'Fer LópezAssist: Sean Neave
  3. 61'Jean-Ricner Bellegarde ⇄ Mateus Mane
  4. Jamie Vardy ⇄ Armando Broja61'
  5. Jacob Bruun Larsen ⇄ Dastan Satpaev61'
  6. Reo Hatate63'
  7. 70'Sean Neave
  8. 71'Fer López ⇄ Thomas Doyle
  9. 72'Sean Neave ⇄ Tawanda Chirewa
  10. 72'Tawanda ChirewaAssist: Mateus Mane
  11. Reo Hatate ⇄ Marcus Edwards75'
  12. 87'Ghislain Konan ⇄ Ladislav Krejčí
  13. 87'Rafiki Said Ahamada ⇄ Hugo Bueno
  14. Max Alleyne ⇄ Ugo Raghouber87'
  15. Kyle Walker90'

Match stats

BurnleyWolves
Possession
47%53%
Expected goals (xG)
1.041.85
Shots
1520
Shots on target
48
Corners
36
Fouls
139
Offsides
70
Yellow cards
21
Red cards
00
Saves
53
Passes
426481