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Segunda División · Regular Season - 12
Burgos
Castellón

Burgos vs Castellón Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds1.30
81%
Confidence · High
BurgosDrawCastellón
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS
Yes
56%
Correct score
1-1
10%
HT/FT
2/2
25%
Double chance
X2
81%
Avg goals
2.5
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Castellón.
  • Recent form: Burgos WLLWW, Castellón WDLWW (oldest to newest).
  • Burgos score 1.5 a game this season; Castellón score 2.0.

Match preview

Burgos host Castellón in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 12) on Sunday, 1 November 2026.

Burgos come into the game with a form of WWL (newest first; 2 wins in their last 3).

In their last 4 meetings, Burgos won 0, Castellón won 3 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 81% confidence, priced at 1.30.

Quick answers

Who will win Burgos vs Castellón?

Our model gives Burgos 19%, the draw 36% and Castellón 46%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (81% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 56% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 51% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Burgos 1 - 1 Castellón. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 81% confidence at odds of 1.30.

When is Burgos vs Castellón?

Kick-off is Sunday, 1 November 2026, 17:30 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
BurgosCastellón
Goals scored
0.00.0
Goals conceded
0.00.0

Model comparison

Percent
BurgosCastellón
Form
47%53%
Attack
38%63%
Defence
29%71%
Poisson model
26%74%
Head to head
9%91%
Goals
22%78%
Overall
29%72%
Form, last 5 games
60%67%
Goals scored, last 5
6.010.0
Goals conceded, last 5
5.02.0
Goal forecast: Burgos Under 1.5, Castellón Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw