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Premier League · Regular Season - 7
Brighton
5 - 0Full time
Crystal Palace
American Express Stadium · Referee: Robert Jones

Brighton vs Crystal Palace Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.12
88%
Confidence · High
BrightonDrawCrystal Palace
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
Yes
55%
Correct score
2-0
9%
HT/FT
1/1
39%
Double chance
1X
88%
Avg goals
3.6
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Brighton or draw.
  • Recent form: Brighton LDWWW, Crystal Palace LWLDW (oldest to newest).
  • Brighton score 3.0 a game this season; Crystal Palace score 1.5.

Match preview

Brighton host Crystal Palace in the Premier League (Regular Season - 7) on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at American Express Stadium.

This season Brighton score 3.3 and concede 0.7 goals a game; Crystal Palace score 1.3 and concede 2.4.

In their last 5 meetings, Brighton won 1, Crystal Palace won 3 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 88% confidence, priced at 1.12.

Quick answers

Who will win Brighton vs Crystal Palace?

Our model gives Brighton 55%, the draw 32% and Crystal Palace 12%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (88% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 55% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 60% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Brighton 2 - 0 Crystal Palace. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 88% confidence at odds of 1.12.

When is Brighton vs Crystal Palace?

Kick-off is Sunday, 18 October 2026, 13:00 UTC at American Express Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. Jaydee CanvotOwn goal4'
  2. Diego GomezAssist: Olivier Boscagli7'
  3. Yasin AyariAssist: Charalampos Kostoulas10'
  4. Pascal Groß29'
  5. 45'Quinten Timber ⇄ Dwight McNeil
  6. Charalampos Kostoulas49'
  7. 51'Daichi Kamada
  8. 53'Honest Ahanor ⇄ Jefferson Lerma
  9. 61'Jörgen Strand Larsen ⇄ Jean-Philippe Mateta
  10. 61'Yeremy Pino ⇄ Eddie Nketiah
  11. Chema Andrés64'
  12. Pascal Groß ⇄ Jack Hinshelwood71'
  13. Charalampos Kostoulas ⇄ Georginio Rutter71'
  14. 81'Daichi Kamada ⇄ Will Hughes
  15. Olivier Boscagli ⇄ Jaouen Hadjam81'
  16. Yasin Ayari ⇄ Malick Yalcouyé81'
  17. Jack Hinshelwood84'
  18. Lewis Dunk ⇄ Michael Svoboda90'

Match stats

BrightonCrystal Palace
Possession
57%43%
Expected goals (xG)
2.020.77
Shots
175
Shots on target
91
Corners
85
Fouls
1311
Offsides
22
Yellow cards
21
Red cards
00
Saves
15
Passes
516384