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UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 2
Bournemouth
3 - 0Full time
Sturm Graz
Vitality Stadium · Referee: Jerome Brisard

Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home Win
Odds1.17
63%
Confidence · Fair
BournemouthDrawSturm Graz
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73%
BTTS
No
52%
Correct score
2-0
9%
HT/FT
1/1
55%
Double chance
1X
92%
Avg goals
1.5
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Winner : Bournemouth and -3.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Bournemouth W, Sturm Graz D (oldest to newest).
  • Bournemouth score 2.0 a game this season; Sturm Graz score 0.0.

Match preview

Bournemouth host Sturm Graz in the UEFA Europa League (League Stage - 2) on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at Vitality Stadium.

This season Bournemouth score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals a game; Sturm Graz score 1.8 and concede 1.1.

Our model leans towards Home Win with 63% confidence, priced at 1.17.

Quick answers

Who will win Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz?

Our model gives Bournemouth 63%, the draw 29% and Sturm Graz 8%. Our tip is Home Win (63% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 52% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 73% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Bournemouth 2 - 0 Sturm Graz. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 92% confidence at odds of 1.02.

When is Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz?

Kick-off is Thursday, 15 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Vitality Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. Francisco Evanilson14'
  2. 41'Belmin Beganovic
  3. Francisco EvanilsonAssist: Adam Smith43'
  4. Bafode Diakite58'
  5. 61'Belmin Beganovic ⇄ Oumar Diakité
  6. Adam Smith ⇄ James Hill62'
  7. Julio Soler66'
  8. Tyler Adams ⇄ Ryan Christie69'
  9. Marcus Tavernier ⇄ Justin Kluivert70'
  10. Francisco Evanilson ⇄ Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha70'
  11. 75'Jacob Peter Hödl ⇄ Julian Halwachs
  12. 75'Petar Petrović ⇄ Albert Vallci
  13. 75'Simon Seidl ⇄ Axel Kayombo
  14. Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha76'
  15. 83'Luis Balbo ⇄ Paul Koller
  16. Ben Gannon-Doak ⇄ Amine Adli84'
  17. 85'Julian Halwachs
  18. 87'Albert Vallci
  19. Álvaro RodríguezPenalty90+2'

Match stats

BournemouthSturm Graz
Possession
62%38%
Expected goals (xG)
2.590.40
Shots
236
Shots on target
71
Corners
73
Fouls
1118
Offsides
12
Yellow cards
33
Red cards
00
Saves
13
Passes
464291