Bournemouth vs AC Milan Prediction, Odds & Tips
Home or Draw (1X)Odds1.33
BournemouthDrawAC Milan
45%36%19%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55%
Why we like it
- Model advice: Double chance : Bournemouth or draw.
- Recent form: Bournemouth WW, AC Milan LW (oldest to newest).
- Bournemouth score 2.5 a game this season; AC Milan score 2.0.
Match preview
Bournemouth host AC Milan in the UEFA Europa League (League Stage - 3) on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at Vitality Stadium.
This season Bournemouth score 4.0 and concede 0.0 goals a game; AC Milan score 2.0 and concede 1.0.
Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 81% confidence, priced at 1.33.
Quick answers
Who will win Bournemouth vs AC Milan?
Our model gives Bournemouth 45%, the draw 36% and AC Milan 19%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (81% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 58% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 55% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Bournemouth 1 - 1 AC Milan. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 81% confidence at odds of 1.33.
When is Bournemouth vs AC Milan?
Kick-off is Thursday, 22 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Vitality Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- VARFrancisco EvanilsonPenalty confirmed6'
- ●Justin KluivertPenalty8'
- Bafode Diakite16'
- 27'Mike Maignan
- Tyler Adams29'
- 32'Omari Hutchinson ⇄ Lorenzo Torriani⇄
- ●Marcus TavernierPenalty32'
- 35'Pervis Estupinan
- 45'Pervis Estupinan ⇄ Davide Bartesaghi⇄
- 45'Ruben Loftus-Cheek ⇄ Adrien Rabiot⇄
- ⇄Tyler Adams ⇄ Lewis Cook62'
- ⇄Marcus Tavernier ⇄ Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha62'
- ⇄Justin Kluivert ⇄ Alex Tóth62'
- 63'Fikayo Tomori
- ⇄Francisco Evanilson ⇄ Álvaro Rodríguez65'
- 66'Fikayo Tomori ⇄ Sankhoun Diawara⇄
- 76'Diego Moreira ⇄ Christian Comotto⇄
- ⇄Alex Tóth ⇄ Amine Adli77'
- 81'Koni De Winter
- ●Amine Adli84'
Match stats
BournemouthAC Milan
Expected goals (xG)
3.220.17
Key stats
Per game, this seasonBournemouthAC Milan
Model comparison
PercentBournemouthAC Milan
Form, last 5 games
100%50%
Goals scored, last 5
5.04.0
Goals conceded, last 5
1.02.0
Goal forecast: Bournemouth Under 3.5, AC Milan Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw
Bournemouth · last 2
2W 0D 0L18 OctHSunderland2-0W
15 OctHSturm Graz3-0W
AC Milan · last 2
2W 0D 0L18 OctHAtalanta3-2W
15 OctARed Bull Salzburg0-4W
Head to head
These teams have not met recently.
Best available odds
DecimalHT/FT
1/X13.00
1/226.00
X/27.50
X/X6.00
1/13.25
X/15.50
2/121.00
2/X15.00
2/25.50
Correct score
1-17.00
2-19.00
1-09.50
2-011.00
2-212.00
1-212.00
0-013.00
0-113.00
3-115.00
3-019.00
0-219.00
3-223.00
1-321.00
Highlighted = our pick. Odds change; check with the bookmaker before betting.
Confirmed line-ups
ConfirmedBournemouth 4-4-2
20M. Di Gregorio
5J. Hill
18B. Diakité
14António Silva
3A. Truffert
11B. Doak
10R. Christie
12T. Adams
16M. Tavernier
19J. Kluivert
9Evanilson
AC Milan 3-4-2-1
16M. Maignan
23F. Tomori
5K. De Winter
31S. Pavlović
22Diego Moreira
80Y. Musah
30A. Jashari
2P. Estupiñán
20O. Hutchinson
8R. Loftus-Cheek
70A. Cissè
