Bolton vs Middlesbrough Prediction, Odds & Tips
Draw or Away (X2)Odds1.17
BoltonDrawMiddlesbrough
15%33%52%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66%
Why we like it
- Model advice: Double chance : draw or Middlesbrough.
- Recent form: Bolton WWLWD, Middlesbrough DDWWD (oldest to newest).
- Bolton score 1.4 a game this season; Middlesbrough score 2.0.
Match preview
Bolton host Middlesbrough in the Championship (Regular Season - 12) on Friday, 23 October 2026 at Toughsheet Community Stadium.
This season Bolton score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals a game; Middlesbrough score 2.0 and concede 1.5.
In their last 5 meetings, Bolton won 0, Middlesbrough won 5 and 0 ended level.
Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 85% confidence, priced at 1.17.
Quick answers
Who will win Bolton vs Middlesbrough?
Our model gives Bolton 15%, the draw 33% and Middlesbrough 52%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (85% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 63% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 66% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Bolton 1 - 2 Middlesbrough. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 85% confidence at odds of 1.17.
When is Bolton vs Middlesbrough?
Kick-off is Friday, 23 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Toughsheet Community Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- 13'Aidan MorrisAssist: Amario Cozier-Duberry●
- 31'will lankshearAssist: Tommy Conway●
- 39'Lewis BruntOwn goal●
- ⇄Akin Famewo ⇄ Max Conway45'
- ⇄Ruben Rodrigues ⇄ Atsuki Ito45'
- ●Thelonius BairAssist: Gaizka Larrazabal45+2'
- ⇄Thelonius Bair ⇄ Sam Dalby55'
- ⇄Ethan Erhahon ⇄ Ryan Hardie55'
- Josh Sheehan63'
- 69'Tommy Conway ⇄ Max Arfsten⇄
- 73'Amario Cozier-DuberryAssist: Riley McGree●
- ⇄Kyliane Dong ⇄ Xavier Simons74'
- 78'will lankshearAssist: Riley McGree●
- 79'Riley McGree ⇄ Leo Castledine⇄
- 79'Amario Cozier-Duberry ⇄ Jeremy Sarmiento⇄
- 79'will lankshear ⇄ Kyle Joseph⇄
- 86'Sebastian Berhalter ⇄ Myles Peart-Harris⇄
Match stats
BoltonMiddlesbrough
Expected goals (xG)
0.944.19
Key stats
Per game, this seasonBoltonMiddlesbrough
Model comparison
PercentBoltonMiddlesbrough
Goals scored, last 5
9.010.0
Goals conceded, last 5
6.08.0
Goal forecast: Bolton Under 2.5, Middlesbrough Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw
Bolton · last 2
1W 1D 0L17 OctASouthampton0-0D
13 OctAWolves1-3W
Middlesbrough · last 2
1W 1D 0L17 OctHCardiff2-2D
13 OctAStoke City2-3W
Head to head
Last 10Jul 2024Middlesbrough3-0Bolton
Aug 2023Bolton1-3Middlesbrough
Apr 2019Bolton0-2Middlesbrough
Sept 2018Middlesbrough2-0Bolton
Dec 2017Middlesbrough2-0Bolton
Sept 2017Bolton0-3Middlesbrough
Apr 2016Bolton1-2Middlesbrough
Aug 2015Middlesbrough3-0Bolton
Feb 2015Middlesbrough1-0Bolton
Aug 2014Bolton1-2Middlesbrough
Best available odds
DecimalHT/FT
1/X15.00
1/217.00
X/24.75
X/X7.50
1/18.00
X/111.00
2/129.00
2/X15.00
2/22.30
Correct score
1-28.50
1-19.00
0-211.00
1-311.00
2-212.00
0-112.00
0-313.00
2-117.00
2-317.00
1-419.00
1-021.00
0-021.00
Highlighted = our pick. Odds change; check with the bookmaker before betting.
Confirmed line-ups
ConfirmedBolton 4-2-3-1
31G. Bazunu
22Gaizka Larrazabal
18E. Toal
5L. Brunt
14A. Famewo
8J. Sheehan
21E. Erhahon
7K. Dong
20Ruben Rodrigues
11T. Gale
9T. Bair
Middlesbrough 4-2-3-1
1R. Vítek
2C. Brittain
4A. Phillips
29A. Malanda
30Neto Borges
10A. Morris
6S. Berhalter
11A. Cozier-Duberry
8R. McGree
9T. Conway
7W. Lankshear
