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AFC Champions League Two · Group Stage - 2
BG Pathum United
1 - 2Full time
Adelaide United
True BG Stadium · Referee: Mohammed Ahmed Al Shammari

BG Pathum United vs Adelaide United Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Away Win
Odds2.70
42%
Confidence · Fair
BG Pathum UnitedDrawAdelaide United
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS
No
66%
Correct score
1-1
9%
HT/FT
1/1
24%
Double chance
X2
78%
Avg goals
2.5
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Winner : Adelaide United.
  • Recent form: BG Pathum United D, Adelaide United W (oldest to newest).
  • BG Pathum United score 1.0 a game this season; Adelaide United score 3.0.

Match preview

BG Pathum United host Adelaide United in the AFC Champions League Two (Group Stage - 2) on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at True BG Stadium.

Our model leans towards Away Win with 42% confidence, priced at 2.70.

Quick answers

Who will win BG Pathum United vs Adelaide United?

Our model gives BG Pathum United 22%, the draw 36% and Adelaide United 42%. Our tip is Away Win (42% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 66% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 61% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is BG Pathum United 1 - 1 Adelaide United. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 78% confidence at odds of 1.60.

When is BG Pathum United vs Adelaide United?

Kick-off is Thursday, 15 October 2026, 12:15 UTC at True BG Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. Marin JurinaAssist: Patrik Gustavsson2'
  2. 10'Craig Goodwin
  3. Sarach Yooyen55'
  4. 59'Anselmo de Moraes
  5. 63'Brody Burkitt ⇄ Ajak Riak
  6. 64'Jay Barnett ⇄ Fabian Talladira
  7. Lucas Andersen ⇄ Fabio Kaufmann66'
  8. Hugo Rama ⇄ Ashley Mark Coffey66'
  9. Yefferson Quintana ⇄ Marko Nikolić66'
  10. 70'Panagiotis Kikianis
  11. Patrik Gustavsson ⇄ Waris Chuthong72'
  12. 73'Jonny Yull ⇄ Joey Garuccio
  13. 77'Ethan AlagichAssist: Juan Muñiz
  14. Anthony Belmonte80'
  15. Anthony Belmonte ⇄ Joao Magno83'
  16. 85'Craig Goodwin ⇄ Amlani Tatu
  17. 85'Anselmo de Moraes ⇄ Feyzo Kasumovic
  18. 89'Ajak Riak
  19. Jonathan Scherzer ⇄ Edin Osmanović90+9'

Match stats

BG Pathum UnitedAdelaide United
Possession
49%51%
Expected goals (xG)
1.251.39
Shots
1813
Shots on target
76
Corners
42
Fouls
813
Offsides
12
Yellow cards
23
Red cards
00
Saves
46
Passes
377477