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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6
Bayern München
6 - 1Full time
RB Leipzig
Allianz Arena · Referee: Tobias Stieler

Bayern München vs RB Leipzig Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home Win
Odds1.20
62%
Confidence · Fair
Bayern MünchenDrawRB Leipzig
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
84%
BTTS
Yes
69%
Correct score
3-1
6%
HT/FT
1/1
53%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
4.0
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Winner : Bayern München and +1.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Bayern München WDWWD, RB Leipzig WLWLW (oldest to newest).
  • Bayern München score 3.2 a game this season; RB Leipzig score 3.0.

Match preview

Bayern München host RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 6) on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Allianz Arena.

This season Bayern München score 3.7 and concede 0.8 goals a game; RB Leipzig score 6.0 and concede 0.0.

In their last 5 meetings, Bayern München won 4, RB Leipzig won 0 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home Win with 62% confidence, priced at 1.20.

Quick answers

Who will win Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?

Our model gives Bayern München 62%, the draw 28% and RB Leipzig 10%. Our tip is Home Win (62% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 69% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 84% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Bayern München 3 - 1 RB Leipzig. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence at odds of 1.05.

When is Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?

Kick-off is Saturday, 17 October 2026, 16:30 UTC at Allianz Arena. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. Luis DíazAssist: Joshua Kimmich12'
  2. Aleksandar PavlovićAssist: Luis Díaz26'
  3. Michael OliseAssist: Harry Kane34'
  4. 45'Ezechiel Banzuzi ⇄ Nicolas Seiwald
  5. 45'Christopher Nkunku ⇄ Tidiam Gomis
  6. Luis DíazAssist: Harry Kane47'
  7. Konrad Laimer51'
  8. Harry KaneAssist: Nathaniel Brown52'
  9. Aleksandar Pavlović ⇄ Tom Bischof59'
  10. Konrad Laimer ⇄ Josip Stanišić59'
  11. Harry Kane ⇄ Lennart Karl59'
  12. Ismael Saibari ⇄ Serge Gnabry59'
  13. 59'Lukas Klostermann ⇄ Benjamin Henrichs
  14. 60'Antonio Nusa ⇄ Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz
  15. Luis DíazAssist: Michael Olise69'
  16. 71'Rocco Reitz ⇄ Andrija Maksimović
  17. Kim Min-Jae ⇄ Sacha Boey77'
  18. 90+1'Andrija MaksimovićAssist: Brajan Gruda

Match stats

Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
Possession
62%38%
Expected goals (xG)
3.840.90
Shots
2912
Shots on target
174
Corners
113
Fouls
156
Offsides
42
Yellow cards
10
Red cards
00
Saves
311
Passes
666414