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NWSL Women · Group Stage
Bay FC W
2 - 2Full time
Portland Thorns W
PayPal Park · Referee: Alexandra Billeter

Bay FC W vs Portland Thorns W Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds1.40
78%
Confidence · Good
Bay FC WDrawPortland Thorns W
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS
Yes
63%
Correct score
1-1
9%
HT/FT
2/2
25%
Double chance
X2
78%
Avg goals
2.9
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Portland Thorns W.
  • Recent form: Bay FC W LDWLL, Portland Thorns W LDWDL (oldest to newest).
  • Bay FC W score 1.0 a game this season; Portland Thorns W score 1.7.

Match preview

Bay FC W host Portland Thorns W in the NWSL Women (Group Stage) on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at PayPal Park.

This season Bay FC W score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals a game; Portland Thorns W score 1.7 and concede 1.5.

In their last 5 meetings, Bay FC W won 2, Portland Thorns W won 3 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 78% confidence, priced at 1.40.

Quick answers

Who will win Bay FC W vs Portland Thorns W?

Our model gives Bay FC W 22%, the draw 34% and Portland Thorns W 43%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (78% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 63% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 66% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Bay FC W 1 - 1 Portland Thorns W. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 78% confidence at odds of 1.40.

When is Bay FC W vs Portland Thorns W?

Kick-off is Sunday, 18 October 2026, 21:00 UTC at PayPal Park. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 10'Morgan WeaverAssist: Nina Nijstad
  2. Agostina HolzheierPenalty cancelled31'
  3. Caroline ContiAssist: karlie lema33'
  4. Caroline Conti45'
  5. joelle anderson ⇄ Aldana Cometti45'
  6. 56'Mary Alice Vignola ⇄ Marie·Muller
  7. 56'Morgan Weaver ⇄ Shae Harvey
  8. Agostina Holzheier ⇄ Cristiana Girelli64'
  9. Kennedy FullerAssist: karlie lema67'
  10. 72'Carolyn Lisette Calzada ⇄ Isabella Obaze
  11. 72'Nina Nijstad ⇄ Cassandra Bogere
  12. 74'Reyna René Reyes Stubblefield
  13. 81'Reilyn Turner ⇄ Julie Dufour
  14. 86'caiya hanks
  15. Sydney Collins ⇄ Maddie Moreau90'
  16. Caroline Conti ⇄ Kelli Hubly90'

Match stats

Bay FC WPortland Thorns W
Possession
51%49%
Expected goals (xG)
2.071.55
Shots
1415
Shots on target
55
Corners
36
Fouls
912
Offsides
40
Yellow cards
11
Red cards
00
Saves
33
Passes
391381