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Vysshaya Liga · Regular Season - 19
Barki Tajik
Istiqlol

Barki Tajik vs Istiqlol Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
Barki TajikDrawIstiqlol
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
BTTS
No
57%
Correct score
1-1
8%
HT/FT
2/2
28%
Double chance
X2
90%
Avg goals
2.3
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Istiqlol.
  • Recent form: Barki Tajik DDWWL, Istiqlol LWWWL (oldest to newest).
  • Barki Tajik score 1.4 a game this season; Istiqlol score 1.3.

Match preview

Barki Tajik host Istiqlol in the Vysshaya Liga (Regular Season - 19) on Sunday, 18 October 2026.

This season Barki Tajik score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals a game; Istiqlol score 1.3 and concede 0.3.

In their last 5 meetings, Barki Tajik won 0, Istiqlol won 5 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Barki Tajik vs Istiqlol?

Our model gives Barki Tajik 10%, the draw 45% and Istiqlol 45%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 57% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 61% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Barki Tajik 1 - 1 Istiqlol. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 90% confidence.

When is Barki Tajik vs Istiqlol?

Kick-off is Sunday, 18 October 2026, 12:00 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Barki TajikIstiqlol
Goals scored
1.41.3
Goals conceded
1.50.3
Clean sheets
24%69%

Model comparison

Percent
Barki TajikIstiqlol
Form
47%53%
Attack
60%40%
Defence
25%75%
Poisson model
29%71%
Head to head
0%100%
Goals
14%86%
Overall
35%65%
Form, last 5 games
53%60%
Goals scored, last 5
9.06.0
Goals conceded, last 5
6.02.0
Goal forecast: Barki Tajik Under 2.5, Istiqlol Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw