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La Liga · Regular Season - 11
Barcelona
Alaves
Spotify Camp Nou

Barcelona vs Alaves Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home Win
Odds1.08
65%
Confidence · Good
BarcelonaDrawAlaves
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
78%
BTTS
No
52%
Correct score
3-0
9%
HT/FT
1/1
59%
Double chance
1X
93%
Avg goals
3.8
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Winner : Barcelona.
  • Recent form: Barcelona WWWWL, Alaves LDLLD (oldest to newest).
  • Barcelona score 4.0 a game this season; Alaves score 1.4.

Match preview

Barcelona host Alaves in the La Liga (Regular Season - 11) on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at Spotify Camp Nou.

Barcelona come into the game with a form of LLWW (newest first; 2 wins in their last 4).

This season Barcelona score 4.0 and concede 1.1 goals a game; Alaves score 1.4 and concede 1.1.

In their last 5 meetings, Barcelona won 4, Alaves won 1 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home Win with 65% confidence, priced at 1.08.

Quick answers

Who will win Barcelona vs Alaves?

Our model gives Barcelona 65%, the draw 27% and Alaves 7%. Our tip is Home Win (65% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 52% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 78% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Barcelona 3 - 0 Alaves. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 93% confidence at odds of 1.01.

When is Barcelona vs Alaves?

Kick-off is Saturday, 31 October 2026, 20:00 UTC at Spotify Camp Nou. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
BarcelonaAlaves
Goals scored
4.01.4
Goals conceded
1.11.1
Clean sheets
40%30%

Model comparison

Percent
BarcelonaAlaves
Form
86%14%
Attack
86%14%
Defence
46%54%
Poisson model
79%21%
Head to head
80%20%
Goals
77%23%
Overall
76%24%
Form, last 5 games
80%13%
Goals scored, last 5
19.03.0
Goals conceded, last 5
7.06.0
Goal forecast: Barcelona Under 4.5, Alaves Under 1.5