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FAW Championship · South - 12
Baglan Dragons
Aberystwyth Town

Baglan Dragons vs Aberystwyth Town Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Banker of the Day
Draw or Away (X2)
Odds1.20
88%
Confidence · High
Baglan DragonsDrawAberystwyth Town
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS
Yes
54%
Correct score
1-1
9%
HT/FT
2/2
30%
Double chance
X2
88%
Avg goals
2.8
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Aberystwyth Town.
  • Recent form: Baglan Dragons WLLWD, Aberystwyth Town WWDWL (oldest to newest).
  • Baglan Dragons score 1.1 a game this season; Aberystwyth Town score 2.4.

Match preview

Baglan Dragons host Aberystwyth Town in the FAW Championship (South - 12) on Saturday, 24 October 2026.

This season Baglan Dragons score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals a game; Aberystwyth Town score 2.4 and concede 1.0.

In their last 2 meetings, Baglan Dragons won 0, Aberystwyth Town won 2 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 88% confidence, priced at 1.20.

Quick answers

Who will win Baglan Dragons vs Aberystwyth Town?

Our model gives Baglan Dragons 12%, the draw 37% and Aberystwyth Town 51%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (88% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 54% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 53% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Baglan Dragons 1 - 1 Aberystwyth Town. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 88% confidence at odds of 1.20.

When is Baglan Dragons vs Aberystwyth Town?

Kick-off is Saturday, 24 October 2026, 13:30 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Baglan DragonsAberystwyth Town
Goals scored
1.12.4
Goals conceded
1.11.0
Clean sheets
27%33%

Model comparison

Percent
Baglan DragonsAberystwyth Town
Form
41%59%
Attack
41%59%
Defence
36%64%
Poisson model
25%75%
Head to head
0%100%
Goals
25%75%
Overall
34%66%
Form, last 5 games
47%67%
Goals scored, last 5
7.010.0
Goals conceded, last 5
7.04.0
Goal forecast: Baglan Dragons Under 2.5, Aberystwyth Town Under 3.5Model verdict: Win or draw