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Ligi kuu Bara · Regular Season - 10
Azam
Mbeya City
Azam Complex Stadium

Azam vs Mbeya City Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
AzamDrawMbeya City
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
BTTS
No
55%
Correct score
1-1
8%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
2.3
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Azam or draw.
  • Recent form: Azam DWWLW, Mbeya City WDLLL (oldest to newest).
  • Azam score 1.6 a game this season; Mbeya City score 1.0.

Match preview

Azam host Mbeya City in the Ligi kuu Bara (Regular Season - 10) on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at Azam Complex Stadium.

This season Azam score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals a game; Mbeya City score 1.0 and concede 1.1.

In their last 5 meetings, Azam won 3, Mbeya City won 1 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Azam vs Mbeya City?

Our model gives Azam 45%, the draw 45% and Mbeya City 10%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 55% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 60% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Azam 1 - 1 Mbeya City. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence.

When is Azam vs Mbeya City?

Kick-off is Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 15:30 UTC at Azam Complex Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
AzamMbeya City
Goals scored
1.61.0
Goals conceded
0.91.1
Clean sheets
38%38%

Model comparison

Percent
AzamMbeya City
Form
71%29%
Attack
67%33%
Defence
64%36%
Poisson model
57%43%
Head to head
71%29%
Goals
77%23%
Overall
68%32%
Form, last 5 games
67%27%
Goals scored, last 5
8.04.0
Goals conceded, last 5
4.07.0
Goal forecast: Azam Under 2.5, Mbeya City Under 1.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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