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UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 2
AZ Alkmaar
2 - 1Full time
Hapoel Beer Sheva
AFAS Stadion(Alkmaar) · Referee: Radoslav Gidzhenov

AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds3.50
68%
Confidence · Good
AZ AlkmaarDrawHapoel Beer Sheva
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS
Yes
53%
Correct score
2-0
9%
HT/FT
1/1
44%
Double chance
X2
68%
Avg goals
–
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Hapoel Beer Sheva and -2.5 goals.
  • Recent form: AZ Alkmaar L, Hapoel Beer Sheva D (oldest to newest).
  • AZ Alkmaar score 0.0 a game this season; Hapoel Beer Sheva score 0.0.

Match preview

AZ Alkmaar host Hapoel Beer Sheva in the UEFA Europa League (League Stage - 2) on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at AFAS Stadion(Alkmaar).

This season AZ Alkmaar score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals a game; Hapoel Beer Sheva score 1.7 and concede 1.1.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 68% confidence, priced at 3.50.

Quick answers

Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

Our model gives AZ Alkmaar 32%, the draw 35% and Hapoel Beer Sheva 33%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (68% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 53% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 68% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is AZ Alkmaar 2 - 0 Hapoel Beer Sheva. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 68% confidence at odds of 3.50.

When is AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

Kick-off is Thursday, 15 October 2026, 16:45 UTC at AFAS Stadion(Alkmaar). The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 39'Pedro Miguel Santos Amador
  2. Seiya Maikuma45'
  3. Peer KoopmeinersAssist: Valdemar Byskov Andreasen49'
  4. 52'Eilel Peretz
  5. Ayoub Oufkir52'
  6. 53'Idan Nachmias ⇄ Miguel Vitor
  7. 55'Forson AmankwahAssist: zahi ahmed
  8. Seiya Maikuma ⇄ Denso Kasius61'
  9. Ayoub Oufkir ⇄ Calvin Stengs61'
  10. 62'Mohamad Abu Rumi ⇄ Javon East
  11. 62'Eilel Peretz ⇄ Niv·Yehoshua
  12. Bendegúz KovácsPenalty confirmed75'
  13. 76'Djibril diop
  14. Bendegúz Kovács ⇄ Mexx Meerdink76'
  15. Mees de Wit ⇄ Mateo Chávez76'
  16. Mexx MeerdinkPenalty77'
  17. 78'zahi ahmed ⇄ João Victor
  18. 78'Igor Zlatanović ⇄ Adrián Ugarriza
  19. Calvin Stengs78'
  20. Denso Kasius83'
  21. Ro Zangelo Daal ⇄ Weslley Pinto Batista86'
  22. 90+1'Adrián Ugarriza

Match stats

AZ AlkmaarHapoel Beer Sheva
Possession
58%42%
Expected goals (xG)
2.651.07
Shots
156
Shots on target
74
Corners
51
Fouls
1417
Offsides
02
Yellow cards
44
Red cards
00
Saves
35
Passes
590405