Avellino vs Padova Prediction, Odds & Tips
AvellinoDrawPadova
44%38%18%
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Why we like it
- Model advice: Winner : Avellino.
- Recent form: Avellino WDLWD, Padova LWLLL (oldest to newest).
- Avellino score 1.7 a game this season; Padova score 0.9.
Match preview
Avellino host Padova in the Serie B (Regular Season - 8) on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at Partenio-Adriano Lombardi.
This season Avellino score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals a game; Padova score 0.9 and concede 1.4.
In their last 5 meetings, Avellino won 1, Padova won 2 and 2 ended level.
Our model leans towards Home Win with 44% confidence, priced at 2.15.
Quick answers
Who will win Avellino vs Padova?
Our model gives Avellino 44%, the draw 38% and Padova 18%. Our tip is Home Win (44% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 50% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 55% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Avellino 1 - 1 Padova. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 82% confidence at odds of 1.30.
When is Avellino vs Padova?
Kick-off is Saturday, 24 October 2026, 13:00 UTC at Partenio-Adriano Lombardi. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- 20'Emanuele ZuelliAssist: Gabriele Artistico●
- 41'Giovanni·Giunti
- 41'Pietro Fusi
- ⇄Luca Palmiero ⇄ L. Di Maggio45'
- ⇄Walid Cheddira ⇄ Andrea Favilli59'
- ⇄Alessandro Di Bitonto ⇄ Armando Izzo59'
- 66'Pietro Fusi ⇄ Kevin Varas⇄
- ⇄Martin Palumbo ⇄ Tommaso Biasci74'
- 77'Giovanni·Giunti ⇄ Marco Pompetti⇄
- 77'Gabriele Artistico ⇄ Mattia Bortolussi⇄
- ⇄Brando Moruzzi ⇄ S. Di Paolo82'
- 90+2'Luca Moro ⇄ Alexander Seghetti⇄
- 90+2'Emanuele Zuelli ⇄ Nicolas Galazzi⇄
Match stats
AvellinoPadova
Expected goals (xG)
2.180.86
Key stats
Per game, this seasonAvellinoPadova
Model comparison
PercentAvellinoPadova
Goals scored, last 5
8.04.0
Goals conceded, last 5
6.09.0
Goal forecast: Avellino Under 3.5, Padova Under 1.5
Avellino · last 1
0W 1D 0L18 OctACesena1-1D
Padova · last 1
0W 0D 1L17 OctHVirtus Entella1-2L
Head to head
Last 5Mar 2026Avellino1-0Padova
Sept 2025Padova2-2Avellino
May 2025Avellino0-1Padova
Jun 2021Avellino0-1Padova
Jun 2021Padova1-1Avellino
Best available odds
DecimalHT/FT
1/X13.00
1/234.00
X/27.50
X/X4.75
1/13.50
X/15.50
2/126.00
2/X15.00
2/25.50
Correct score
1-16.00
1-07.00
0-08.00
2-19.50
0-19.50
2-010.00
1-213.00
2-215.00
0-217.00
3-119.00
3-021.00
3-229.00
Highlighted = our pick. Odds change; check with the bookmaker before betting.
Confirmed line-ups
ConfirmedAvellino 3-5-2
50T. Martinelli
5A. Di Bitonto
23M. Venturi
56P. Enrici
2F. Missori
20M. Palumbo
6L. Palmiero
39M. Besaggio
27B. Moruzzi
9W. Cheddira
10R. Russo
Padova 3-5-2
22A. Sorrentino
32F. Sgarbi
5M. Lovato
27Alessandro Dellavalle
24L. Carissoni
21E. Zuelli
6G. Giunti
8P. Fusi
17A. Capelli
9L. Moro
90G. Artistico
