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A-League · Regular Season - 1
Auckland
3 - 1Full time
Melbourne City
Mount Smart Stadium · Referee: Timothy Danaskos

Auckland vs Melbourne City Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.40
83%
Confidence · High
AucklandDrawMelbourne City
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
Yes
53%
Correct score
1-1
12%
HT/FT
1/1
21%
Double chance
1X
83%
Avg goals
–
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Auckland or draw.
  • Auckland score 0.0 a game this season; Melbourne City score 0.0.

Match preview

Auckland host Melbourne City in the A-League (Regular Season - 1) on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Mount Smart Stadium.

This season Auckland score 3.0 and concede 1.0 goals a game; Melbourne City score 1.0 and concede 3.0.

In their last 5 meetings, Auckland won 2, Melbourne City won 1 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 83% confidence, priced at 1.40.

Quick answers

Who will win Auckland vs Melbourne City?

Our model gives Auckland 44%, the draw 39% and Melbourne City 17%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (83% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 53% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 50% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Auckland 1 - 1 Melbourne City. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 83% confidence at odds of 1.40.

When is Auckland vs Melbourne City?

Kick-off is Saturday, 17 October 2026, 04:00 UTC at Mount Smart Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 32'A. Behich
  2. S. Cosgrove32'
  3. L. Bayliss35'
  4. 42'Q. MacNicolAssist: K. Rahmani
  5. L. Bayliss53'
  6. 67'A. Nabbout ⇄ M. Caputo
  7. 75'B. Kutleshi ⇄ M. Leckie
  8. 75'Q. MacNicol ⇄ L. Wong
  9. L. Bayliss ⇄ V. Fitzharris80'
  10. L. BrookAssist: F. De Vries85'
  11. L. Brook ⇄ I. Prins88'
  12. J. Brimmer ⇄ D. Normann88'
  13. L. Rogerson88'
  14. S. Cosgrove ⇄ C. Elliot90'

Match stats

AucklandMelbourne City
Possession
44%56%
Shots
1014
Shots on target
34
Corners
34
Fouls
109
Offsides
23
Yellow cards
11
Saves
31
Passes
300384
Pass accuracy
71%79%