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Copa Colombia · Quarter-finals
Atletico Nacional
3 - 2Full time
Independiente Medellin
Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.18
85%
Confidence · High
Atletico NacionalDrawIndependiente Medellin
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS
Yes
54%
Correct score
1-1
11%
HT/FT
1/1
32%
Double chance
1X
85%
Avg goals
2.5
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Atletico Nacional or draw.
  • Recent form: Atletico Nacional WWW, Independiente Medellin WDDWW (oldest to newest).
  • Atletico Nacional score 2.3 a game this season; Independiente Medellin score 1.8.

Match preview

Atletico Nacional host Independiente Medellin in the Copa Colombia (Quarter-finals) on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.

This season Atletico Nacional score 2.0 and concede 0.8 goals a game; Independiente Medellin score 1.4 and concede 1.3.

In their last 5 meetings, Atletico Nacional won 3, Independiente Medellin won 0 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 85% confidence, priced at 1.18.

Quick answers

Who will win Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin?

Our model gives Atletico Nacional 49%, the draw 36% and Independiente Medellin 15%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (85% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 54% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 53% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Atletico Nacional 1 - 1 Independiente Medellin. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 85% confidence at odds of 1.18.

When is Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin?

Kick-off is Thursday, 15 October 2026, 01:30 UTC at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. C. HaydarGoal Disallowed - video review11'
  2. C. Haydar23'
  3. J. Campuzano38'
  4. F. FabraOwn goal42'
  5. 46'D. Catano ⇄ E. Mena Perea
  6. M. Uribe ⇄ J. Rengifo56'
  7. 63'A. MarteganiPenalty
  8. A. Roman65'
  9. 66'D. Moreno
  10. 71'A. Martegani
  11. E. Cardona ⇄ N. Rodriguez71'
  12. J. Campuzano ⇄ J. Zapata72'
  13. 78'H. Loboa ⇄ D. Moreno
  14. 78'C. Lucumi ⇄ Yony Gonzalez
  15. J. Rodriguez ⇄ K. Parra Atehortua82'
  16. S. Velasquez ⇄ M. Casco82'
  17. 86'L. Escorcia
  18. 88'J. Montano ⇄ K. Klinger