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CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Semi-finals
Atletico-MG
3 - 0Full time
Atletico Torque
Arena MRV · Referee: Carlos Betancur

Atletico-MG vs Atletico Torque Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.07
90%
Confidence · High
Atletico-MGDrawAtletico Torque
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS
No
59%
Correct score
1-0
13%
HT/FT
1/1
40%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
2.5
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Atletico-MG or draw.
  • Recent form: Atletico-MG WWDLW, Atletico Torque DWWLW (oldest to newest).
  • Atletico-MG score 1.6 a game this season; Atletico Torque score 1.6.

Match preview

Atletico-MG host Atletico Torque in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana (Semi-finals) on Wednesday, 14 October 2026 at Arena MRV.

This season Atletico-MG score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals a game; Atletico Torque score 1.6 and concede 1.2.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 90% confidence, priced at 1.07.

Quick answers

Who will win Atletico-MG vs Atletico Torque?

Our model gives Atletico-MG 56%, the draw 34% and Atletico Torque 10%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 59% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 53% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Atletico-MG 1 - 0 Atletico Torque. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence at odds of 1.07.

When is Atletico-MG vs Atletico Torque?

Kick-off is Wednesday, 14 October 2026, 22:00 UTC at Arena MRV. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. Reinier Jesus CarvalhoAssist: Victor Hugo Gomes Silva37'
  2. Bernard Anício Caldeira DuarteAssist: Reinier Jesus Carvalho42'
  3. 46'Pablo Siles
  4. Vitor Fernandes Chaves Teixeira57'
  5. Reinier Jesus Carvalho ⇄ Thiago Borbas63'
  6. Victor Hugo Gomes Silva ⇄ Igor Gomes63'
  7. Bernard Anício Caldeira Duarte ⇄ Mamady Cisse77'
  8. 80'Franco Pizzichillo ⇄ Ezequiel Busquets
  9. 80'Pablo Siles ⇄ Diogo Guzmán
  10. Thiago BorbasAssist: Renan Lodi80'
  11. 81'E. Obregón ⇄ Luka Andrade
  12. Tomás Cuello ⇄ Alan Minda85'
  13. Vitor Fernandes Chaves Teixeira ⇄ Vitor Hugo Franchescoli de Souza85'
  14. 88'Salomón Rodríguez ⇄ Alexander Nahuel da Silva Rivero
  15. 90+2'Luka Andrade

Match stats

Atletico-MGAtletico Torque
Possession
65%35%
Expected goals (xG)
2.160.31
Shots
166
Shots on target
81
Corners
64
Fouls
87
Offsides
22
Yellow cards
12
Red cards
00
Saves
14
Passes
666343