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UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 2
Atletico Madrid
2 - 0Full time
Manchester United
Riyadh Air Metropolitano · Referee: Glenn Nyberg

Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.25
77%
Confidence · Good
Atletico MadridDrawManchester United
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS
Yes
59%
Correct score
1-1
10%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
77%
Avg goals
–
Expected

Match preview

Atletico Madrid host Manchester United in the UEFA Champions League (League Stage - 2) on Tuesday, 13 October 2026 at Riyadh Air Metropolitano.

This season Atletico Madrid score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals a game; Manchester United score 1.4 and concede 1.4.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 77% confidence, priced at 1.25.

Quick answers

Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United?

Our model gives Atletico Madrid 53%, the draw 24% and Manchester United 23%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (77% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 59% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 57% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Atletico Madrid 1 - 1 Manchester United. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 77% confidence at odds of 1.25.

When is Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United?

Kick-off is Tuesday, 13 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. Pablo Barrios RivasAssist: Alejandro Baena Rodríguez1'
  2. Diego Pablo Simeone37'
  3. Johnny CardosoGoal cancelled45'
  4. 52'Marcus Rashford
  5. Pablo Barrios Rivas ⇄ Marc Pubill60'
  6. Lee Kang-In ⇄ Jonathan David61'
  7. 66'Youri Tielemans ⇄ Joshua Zirkzee
  8. 66'Carlos Baleba ⇄ Mason Mount
  9. 66'Marcus Rashford ⇄ Amad Diallo
  10. Alejandro Baena Rodríguez ⇄ Ademola Lookman71'
  11. Julián Álvarez ⇄ Morten Hjulmand71'
  12. 72'Leny YoroCard upgrade confirmed
  13. 74'Leny Yoro
  14. Ademola Lookman79'
  15. 80'Ayden Heaven ⇄ Harry Maguire
  16. 80'Bruno Fernandes ⇄ Matheus Cunha
  17. Giuliano Simeone Baldini ⇄ Robin Le Normand88'
  18. Robin Le Normand88'

Match stats

Atletico MadridManchester United
Possession
58%42%
Expected goals (xG)
1.501.04
Shots
109
Shots on target
44
Corners
25
Fouls
1113
Offsides
11
Yellow cards
11
Red cards
01
Saves
42
Passes
582375