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La Liga · Regular Season - 11
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad
San Mamés Stadium

Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds1.73
72%
Confidence · Good
Athletic ClubDrawReal Sociedad
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS
Yes
58%
Correct score
1-1
10%
HT/FT
1/1
26%
Double chance
X2
72%
Avg goals
3.0
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Real Sociedad.
  • Recent form: Athletic Club DDDLW, Real Sociedad LWWWW (oldest to newest).
  • Athletic Club score 1.3 a game this season; Real Sociedad score 1.9.

Match preview

Athletic Club host Real Sociedad in the La Liga (Regular Season - 11) on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at San Mamés Stadium.

Real Sociedad have WWWD (newest first; 3 wins in their last 4).

In their last 5 meetings, Athletic Club won 1, Real Sociedad won 3 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 72% confidence, priced at 1.73.

Quick answers

Who will win Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad?

Our model gives Athletic Club 28%, the draw 35% and Real Sociedad 37%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (72% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 58% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 55% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Athletic Club 1 - 1 Real Sociedad. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 72% confidence at odds of 1.73.

When is Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad?

Kick-off is Sunday, 1 November 2026, 20:00 UTC at San Mamés Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Athletic ClubReal Sociedad
Goals scored
0.01.9
Goals conceded
0.01.8

Model comparison

Percent
Athletic ClubReal Sociedad
Form
33%67%
Attack
32%68%
Defence
71%29%
Poisson model
61%39%
Head to head
29%71%
Goals
40%60%
Overall
44%56%
Form, last 5 games
40%80%
Goals scored, last 5
6.013.0
Goals conceded, last 5
4.010.0
Goal forecast: Athletic Club Under 2.5, Real Sociedad Under 3.5Model verdict: Win or draw