Skip to content
Register
UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 1
Atalanta
3 - 1Full time
Pafos
New Balance Arena · Referee: Adam Ladeback

Atalanta vs Pafos Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.07
80%
Confidence · High
AtalantaDrawPafos
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS
Yes
51%
Correct score
2-0
10%
HT/FT
1/1
46%
Double chance
1X
80%
Avg goals
2.3
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Atalanta or draw.
  • Recent form: Atalanta DW, Pafos DW (oldest to newest).
  • Atalanta score 0.5 a game this season; Pafos score 2.5.

Match preview

Atalanta host Pafos in the UEFA Europa Conference League (League Stage - 1) on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at New Balance Arena.

This season Atalanta score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals a game; Pafos score 1.2 and concede 0.5.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 80% confidence, priced at 1.07.

Quick answers

Who will win Atalanta vs Pafos?

Our model gives Atalanta 54%, the draw 26% and Pafos 20%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (80% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 51% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 64% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Atalanta 2 - 0 Pafos. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 80% confidence at odds of 1.07.

When is Atalanta vs Pafos?

Kick-off is Thursday, 15 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at New Balance Arena. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. E. ElmasAssist: G. Raspadori1'
  2. G. RaspadoriPenalty18'
  3. G. Raspadori ⇄ C. De Ketelaere21'
  4. 37'David Luiz ⇄ K. Sema
  5. G. ScamaccaAssist: C. De Ketelaere44'
  6. 46'Bruno ⇄ J. Correia
  7. 46'D. Quina ⇄ A. Brito
  8. 50'R. Sa Pinto
  9. M. Pasalic ⇄ Ederson67'
  10. N. Zalewski ⇄ L. Samardzic67'
  11. 69'Pepe ⇄ Guga
  12. 69'Lele ⇄ Anderson Silva
  13. T. Kristensen ⇄ J. Idele80'
  14. 88'BielAssist: Anderson Silva

Match stats

AtalantaPafos
Possession
65%35%
Expected goals (xG)
3.470.91
Shots
208
Shots on target
75
Corners
62
Fouls
1311
Offsides
20
Saves
44
Passes
778419
Pass accuracy
93%85%