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WSL Cup · Group Stage
Aston Villa W
Birmingham City W
Keys Park

Aston Villa W vs Birmingham City W Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
Aston Villa WDrawBirmingham City W
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
71%
BTTS
Yes
69%
Correct score
2-2
3%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
3.6
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Aston Villa W or draw.
  • Recent form: Aston Villa W WWW, Birmingham City W LLW (oldest to newest).
  • Aston Villa W score 2.3 a game this season; Birmingham City W score 2.7.

Match preview

Aston Villa W host Birmingham City W in the WSL Cup (Group Stage) on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at Keys Park.

This season Aston Villa W score 1.0 and concede 2.0 goals a game; Birmingham City W score 1.3 and concede 2.2.

In their last 5 meetings, Aston Villa W won 1, Birmingham City W won 2 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Aston Villa W vs Birmingham City W?

Our model gives Aston Villa W 45%, the draw 45% and Birmingham City W 10%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 69% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 71% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Aston Villa W 2 - 2 Birmingham City W. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence.

When is Aston Villa W vs Birmingham City W?

Kick-off is Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 19:30 UTC at Keys Park. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Aston Villa WBirmingham City W
Goals scored
1.01.3
Goals conceded
2.02.2
Clean sheets
0%0%

Model comparison

Percent
Aston Villa WBirmingham City W
Form
75%25%
Attack
47%53%
Defence
86%14%
Poisson model
49%51%
Head to head
29%71%
Goals
42%58%
Overall
55%45%
Form, last 5 games
100%33%
Goals scored, last 5
7.08.0
Goals conceded, last 5
1.06.0
Goal forecast: Aston Villa W Under 2.5, Birmingham City W Under 3.5Model verdict: Win or draw