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UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 2
Aston Villa
6 - 0Full time
Fenerbahçe
Villa Park · Referee: Ivan Kruzliak

Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.18
85%
Confidence · High
Aston VillaDrawFenerbahçe
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS
Yes
58%
Correct score
1-1
9%
HT/FT
1/1
33%
Double chance
1X
85%
Avg goals
3.5
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Aston Villa or draw.
  • Recent form: Aston Villa W, Fenerbahçe WWDWD (oldest to newest).
  • Aston Villa score 3.0 a game this season; Fenerbahçe score 1.3.

Match preview

Aston Villa host Fenerbahçe in the UEFA Champions League (League Stage - 2) on Wednesday, 14 October 2026 at Villa Park.

This season Aston Villa score 3.0 and concede 1.0 goals a game; Fenerbahçe score 2.8 and concede 0.8.

In their last 1 meetings, Aston Villa won 1, Fenerbahçe won 0 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 85% confidence, priced at 1.18.

Quick answers

Who will win Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe?

Our model gives Aston Villa 51%, the draw 34% and Fenerbahçe 15%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (85% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 58% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 59% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Aston Villa 1 - 1 Fenerbahçe. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 85% confidence at odds of 1.18.

When is Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe?

Kick-off is Wednesday, 14 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Villa Park. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. Johan Manzambi12'
  2. Nicolas JacksonAssist: Boubacar Kamara31'
  3. Nicolas JacksonAssist: Ross Barkley39'
  4. 42'Mattéo Guendouzi
  5. Ross BarkleyPenalty68'
  6. 69'Mason Greenwood ⇄ Nene Dorgeles
  7. 69'Vedat Muriqi ⇄ Romelu Lukaku
  8. 69'Ismail Yüksek ⇄ Bartuğ Elmaz
  9. Ross BarkleyAssist: Ibrahim Mbaye72'
  10. Johan Manzambi ⇄ João Gomes73'
  11. Boubacar Kamara ⇄ Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha73'
  12. Nicolas Jackson ⇄ Tammy Abraham78'
  13. 78'Oğuz Aydın
  14. Ibrahim Mbaye ⇄ Alejandro Garnacho79'
  15. Ross Barkley ⇄ Leon Goretzka83'
  16. Tammy AbrahamAssist: Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha90'

Match stats

Aston VillaFenerbahçe
Possession
45%55%
Expected goals (xG)
3.111.92
Shots
2015
Shots on target
114
Corners
97
Fouls
126
Offsides
13
Yellow cards
02
Red cards
00
Saves
45
Passes
389470