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Ýokary Liga · Regular Season - 25
Aşgabat
Merw

Aşgabat vs Merw Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home Win
Odds–
45%
Confidence · Fair
AşgabatDrawMerw
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS
Yes
68%
Correct score
2-2
3%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
3.5
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Winner : Aşgabat.
  • Recent form: Aşgabat LDLLD, Merw DWLLL (oldest to newest).
  • Aşgabat score 1.2 a game this season; Merw score 1.0.

Match preview

Aşgabat host Merw in the Ýokary Liga (Regular Season - 25) on Sunday, 1 November 2026.

This season Aşgabat score 1.2 and concede 2.2 goals a game; Merw score 1.0 and concede 2.7.

In their last 5 meetings, Aşgabat won 3, Merw won 2 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home Win with 45% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Aşgabat vs Merw?

Our model gives Aşgabat 45%, the draw 45% and Merw 10%. Our tip is Home Win (45% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 68% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 69% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Aşgabat 2 - 2 Merw. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence.

When is Aşgabat vs Merw?

Kick-off is Sunday, 1 November 2026, 14:00 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
AşgabatMerw
Goals scored
1.21.0
Goals conceded
2.22.7
Clean sheets
17%13%

Model comparison

Percent
AşgabatMerw
Form
33%67%
Attack
80%20%
Defence
52%48%
Poisson model
75%25%
Head to head
60%40%
Goals
60%40%
Overall
60%40%
Form, last 5 games
13%27%
Goals scored, last 5
8.02.0
Goals conceded, last 5
12.013.0
Goal forecast: Aşgabat Under 3.5, Merw Under 1.5

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