Arsenal W vs Birmingham City W Prediction, Odds & Tips
Home or Draw (1X)Odds1.00
Arsenal WDrawBirmingham City W
65%28%7%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
77%
Why we like it
- Model advice: Double chance : Arsenal W or draw.
- Recent form: Arsenal W WDDLL, Birmingham City W LDLDL (oldest to newest).
- Arsenal W score 0.8 a game this season; Birmingham City W score 1.4.
Match preview
Arsenal W host Birmingham City W in the FA WSL (Regular Season - 6) on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Meadow Park.
This season Arsenal W score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals a game; Birmingham City W score 1.3 and concede 2.2.
In their last 5 meetings, Arsenal W won 4, Birmingham City W won 1 and 0 ended level.
Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 93% confidence, priced at 1.00.
Quick answers
Who will win Arsenal W vs Birmingham City W?
Our model gives Arsenal W 65%, the draw 28% and Birmingham City W 7%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (93% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 56% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 77% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Arsenal W 3 - 0 Birmingham City W. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 93% confidence at odds of 1.00.
When is Arsenal W vs Birmingham City W?
Kick-off is Saturday, 17 October 2026, 11:45 UTC at Meadow Park. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- 53'Oceane HurtreAssist: Neve Grace Herron●
- 57'Suzu Amano ⇄ Lee Geum-Min⇄
- ●Olivia SmithAssist: Georgia Stanway66'
- Georgia Stanway70'
- 72'Neve Grace Herron
- ⇄Stina Blackstenius ⇄ Géraldine Reuteler77'
- ⇄Smilla Holmberg ⇄ Emily Fox78'
- 79'Oceane Hurtre ⇄ Veatriki Sarri⇄
- ⇄Lisa Baum ⇄ Caitlin Foord86'
- ⇄Ona Batlle ⇄ Elisa De Almeida86'
Match stats
Arsenal WBirmingham City W
Expected goals (xG)
2.790.83
Key stats
Per game, this seasonArsenal WBirmingham City W
Model comparison
PercentArsenal WBirmingham City W
Goals scored, last 5
4.07.0
Goals conceded, last 5
6.012.0
Goal forecast: Arsenal W Under 1.5, Birmingham City W Under 1.5Model verdict: Win or draw
Arsenal W · last 0
0W 0D 0LNo matches.
Birmingham City W · last 0
0W 0D 0LNo matches.
Head to head
Last 9Mar 2022Arsenal W4-2Birmingham City W
Jan 2022Birmingham City W2-0Arsenal W
Mar 2021Birmingham City W0-4Arsenal W
Dec 2020Arsenal W3-0Birmingham City W
Jan 2020Arsenal W2-0Birmingham City W
Mar 2019Birmingham City W0-1Arsenal W
Nov 2018Arsenal W3-1Birmingham City W
Apr 2018Birmingham City W3-0Arsenal W
Sept 2017Arsenal W3-2Birmingham City W
Best available odds
DecimalHT/FT
1/X29.00
1/281.00
X/234.00
X/X17.00
1/11.36
X/14.33
2/119.00
2/X34.00
2/234.00
Correct score
3-07.50
4-08.00
2-09.00
5-011.00
3-112.00
2-113.00
4-113.00
1-015.00
5-117.00
6-017.00
1-121.00
0-029.00
3-229.00
6-126.00
Highlighted = our pick. Odds change; check with the bookmaker before betting.
Confirmed line-ups
ConfirmedArsenal W 4-2-3-1
16Misa Rodriguez
31S. Holmberg
6L. Williamson
3L. Wubben-Moy
22Ona Batlle
4G. Stanway
32K. Cooney-Cross
19L. Baum
23A. Russo
11Olivia Smith
25S. Blackstenius
Birmingham City W 4-4-1-1
23S. Baggaley
18R. McKenna
6S. Cooke
21M. Turner
30N. Herron
22Oceane Hurtre
26Asato Miyagawa
8L. Naalsund
3Marie Levasseur
14S. Amano
16L. Crosthwaite