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Championship · Regular Season - 12
Ards
0 - 2Full time
Institute

Ards vs Institute Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Away Win
Odds2.55
40%
Confidence · Fair
ArdsDrawInstitute
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS
Yes
58%
Correct score
1-1
10%
HT/FT
1/1
22%
Double chance
X2
76%
Avg goals
2.9
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Winner : Institute.
  • Recent form: Ards WDLDW, Institute WWLWD (oldest to newest).
  • Ards score 1.3 a game this season; Institute score 1.8.

Match preview

Ards host Institute in the Championship (Regular Season - 12) on Friday, 16 October 2026.

This season Ards score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals a game; Institute score 1.8 and concede 1.4.

In their last 5 meetings, Ards won 1, Institute won 2 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Away Win with 40% confidence, priced at 2.55.

Quick answers

Who will win Ards vs Institute?

Our model gives Ards 24%, the draw 36% and Institute 40%. Our tip is Away Win (40% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 58% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 55% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Ards 1 - 1 Institute. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 76% confidence at odds of 1.50.

When is Ards vs Institute?

Kick-off is Friday, 16 October 2026, 18:45 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
ArdsInstitute
Goals scored
1.21.8
Goals conceded
1.31.4
Clean sheets
25%58%

Model comparison

Percent
ArdsInstitute
Form
44%56%
Attack
22%78%
Defence
80%20%
Poisson model
37%63%
Head to head
38%62%
Goals
38%63%
Overall
43%57%
Form, last 5 games
53%67%
Goals scored, last 5
4.014.0
Goals conceded, last 5
2.08.0
Goal forecast: Ards Under 1.5, Institute Under 3.5