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UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 3
Ararat-Armenia
0 - 4Full time
AZ Alkmaar
Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium · Referee: Patrik Kolaric

Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds2.38
64%
Confidence · Fair
Ararat-ArmeniaDrawAZ Alkmaar
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
Yes
56%
Correct score
1-1
9%
HT/FT
2/2
37%
Double chance
1X
64%
Avg goals
2.5
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : Ararat-Armenia or draw and -3.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Ararat-Armenia DWLL, AZ Alkmaar LW (oldest to newest).
  • Ararat-Armenia score 1.0 a game this season; AZ Alkmaar score 1.0.

Match preview

Ararat-Armenia host AZ Alkmaar in the UEFA Europa League (League Stage - 3) on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium.

This season Ararat-Armenia score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals a game; AZ Alkmaar score 2.2 and concede 1.1.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 64% confidence, priced at 2.38.

Quick answers

Who will win Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar?

Our model gives Ararat-Armenia 31%, the draw 33% and AZ Alkmaar 36%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (64% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 56% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 60% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Ararat-Armenia 1 - 1 AZ Alkmaar. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 64% confidence at odds of 2.38.

When is Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar?

Kick-off is Thursday, 22 October 2026, 16:45 UTC at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 21'Valdemar Byskov Andreasen
  2. Bruno Wilson23'
  3. 27'Weslley Pinto BatistaAssist: Seiya Maikuma
  4. Armen Ambartsumyan44'
  5. 45'Ayoub Oufkir ⇄ Ro Zangelo Daal
  6. Armen Ambartsumyan ⇄ Karen Muradyan57'
  7. 65'Bendegúz Kovács ⇄ Mexx Meerdink
  8. 65'Seiya Maikuma ⇄ Denso Kasius
  9. Juan Andres Balanta ⇄ Bernardo Oliveira73'
  10. Sandro Lima ⇄ Arayik Eloyan73'
  11. Edgar·Grigoryan ⇄ Bruno Pereira73'
  12. Zhirayr Shaghoyan ⇄ Carlos Henrique França Freires73'
  13. 76'Weslley Pinto BatistaAssist: Ro Zangelo Daal
  14. 79'Mexx MeerdinkAssist: Weslley Pinto Batista
  15. 80'Wesley Hoedt ⇄ Rion Ichihara
  16. 80'Valdemar Byskov Andreasen ⇄ Hessel de Wit

Match stats

Ararat-ArmeniaAZ Alkmaar
Possession
39%61%
Expected goals (xG)
0.431.89
Shots
917
Shots on target
49
Corners
56
Fouls
915
Offsides
20
Yellow cards
20
Red cards
00
Saves
54
Passes
365572