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Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 · Group 8 - 5
Apollon Smirnis
3 - 2Full time
Ethnikos Piraeus
Georgios Kamaras Stadium

Apollon Smirnis vs Ethnikos Piraeus Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
Apollon SmirnisDrawEthnikos Piraeus
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
80%
BTTS
No
74%
Correct score
1-1
8%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
1.6
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : Apollon Smirnis or draw and -3.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Apollon Smirnis WWLW, Ethnikos Piraeus WDLL (oldest to newest).
  • Apollon Smirnis score 1.3 a game this season; Ethnikos Piraeus score 0.5.

Match preview

Apollon Smirnis host Ethnikos Piraeus in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 (Group 8 - 5) on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Georgios Kamaras Stadium.

This season Apollon Smirnis score 1.3 and concede 0.5 goals a game; Ethnikos Piraeus score 0.5 and concede 0.8.

In their last 2 meetings, Apollon Smirnis won 0, Ethnikos Piraeus won 2 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Apollon Smirnis vs Ethnikos Piraeus?

Our model gives Apollon Smirnis 45%, the draw 45% and Ethnikos Piraeus 10%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 74% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 80% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Apollon Smirnis 1 - 1 Ethnikos Piraeus. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence.

When is Apollon Smirnis vs Ethnikos Piraeus?

Kick-off is Sunday, 25 October 2026, 13:00 UTC at Georgios Kamaras Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Apollon SmirnisEthnikos Piraeus
Goals scored
1.30.5
Goals conceded
0.50.8
Clean sheets
50%25%

Model comparison

Percent
Apollon SmirnisEthnikos Piraeus
Form
69%31%
Attack
71%29%
Defence
60%40%
Poisson model
64%36%
Head to head
0%100%
Goals
0%100%
Overall
66%34%
Form, last 5 games
75%33%
Goals scored, last 5
5.02.0
Goals conceded, last 5
2.03.0
Goal forecast: Apollon Smirnis Under 1.5, Ethnikos Piraeus Under 1.5Model verdict: Win or draw